Hamilton Gold Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

AMAX Etf   35.83  0.31  0.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Gold Producer on the next trading day is expected to be 36.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.78. Hamilton Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Hamilton Gold's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hamilton Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hamilton Gold Producer, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hamilton Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hamilton Gold Producer from the perspective of Hamilton Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Gold Producer on the next trading day is expected to be 36.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.78.

Hamilton Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 35.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hamilton Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Hamilton Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hamilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hamilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hamilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Hamilton Gold is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hamilton Gold Producer value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hamilton Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Gold Producer on the next trading day is expected to be 36.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hamilton Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hamilton Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hamilton Gold Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hamilton GoldHamilton Gold Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hamilton Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hamilton Gold's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hamilton Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.36 and 39.37, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.83
36.86
Expected Value
39.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hamilton Gold etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hamilton Gold etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0291
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7668
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0227
SAESum of the absolute errors46.7767
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hamilton Gold Producer. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hamilton Gold. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hamilton Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamilton Gold Producer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3935.8938.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1034.6037.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.4035.2638.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hamilton Gold

For every potential investor in Hamilton, whether a beginner or expert, Hamilton Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hamilton Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hamilton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hamilton Gold's price trends.

Hamilton Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hamilton Gold etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hamilton Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hamilton Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hamilton Gold Producer Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hamilton Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hamilton Gold's current price.

Hamilton Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hamilton Gold etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hamilton Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hamilton Gold etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Hamilton Gold Producer entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hamilton Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hamilton Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hamilton Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hamilton etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hamilton Gold

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hamilton Gold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hamilton Gold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hamilton Etf

  0.99XGD iShares SPTSX GlobalPairCorr
  0.98ZGD BMO Equal WeightPairCorr
  0.99ZJG BMO Junior GoldPairCorr
  0.99HEP Global X EnhancedPairCorr
  0.97HGGG Harvest Global GoldPairCorr

Moving against Hamilton Etf

  0.34XIT iShares SPTSX CappedPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hamilton Gold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hamilton Gold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hamilton Gold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hamilton Gold Producer to buy it.
The correlation of Hamilton Gold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hamilton Gold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hamilton Gold Producer moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hamilton Gold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hamilton Etf

Hamilton Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hamilton Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hamilton with respect to the benefits of owning Hamilton Gold security.