Amcor Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AMCCF Stock | USD 40.90 0.00 0.00% |
Amcor Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amcor Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Amcor Plc's share price is at 51. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amcor Plc, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amcor Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amcor plc from the perspective of Amcor Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amcor plc on the next trading day is expected to be 40.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.29. Amcor Plc after-hype prediction price | USD 40.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amcor |
Amcor Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amcor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amcor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amcor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amcor Plc Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amcor plc on the next trading day is expected to be 40.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36, mean absolute percentage error of 18.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amcor Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amcor Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amcor Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amcor Plc | Amcor Plc Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amcor Plc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amcor Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amcor Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.41 and 92.04, respectively. We have considered Amcor Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amcor Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amcor Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0198 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3608 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0866 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 80.29 |
Predictive Modules for Amcor Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amcor plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amcor Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amcor Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amcor Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amcor Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Amcor Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amcor Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amcor Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amcor Plc's historical news coverage. Amcor Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.05 and 4,131, respectively. We have considered Amcor Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amcor Plc is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amcor plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amcor Plc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amcor Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amcor Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amcor Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
5.12 | 51.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.90 | 40.90 | 0.00 |
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Amcor Plc Hype Timeline
Amcor plc is presently traded for 40.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Amcor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 5.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amcor Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.90. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Amcor Plc was presently reported as 2.64. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amcor Plc to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Amcor Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Amcor Plc guide.Amcor Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amcor Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amcor Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Amcor Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amcor Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICHGF | InterContinental Hotels Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.04 | 5.42 | (2.74) | 14.98 | |
| ASCCY | Asics Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | (0) | 3.61 | (2.61) | 11.33 | |
| NCBDF | BANDAI NAMCO Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.00 | (4.20) | 9.14 | |
| CJEWF | Chow Tai Fook | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | (2.23) | 11.06 | |
| SCHYY | Sands China Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | (0.03) | 3.58 | (2.76) | 11.33 | |
| ASCCF | ASICS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.54 | (6.06) | 20.39 | |
| MONRF | Moncler SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.31 | (2.87) | 18.10 | |
| MONRY | Moncler SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.18 | (2.73) | 7.96 | |
| NXGPF | NEXT Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.75 | |
| CCLLF | CCL Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 5.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amcor Plc
For every potential investor in Amcor, whether a beginner or expert, Amcor Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amcor Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amcor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amcor Plc's price trends.Amcor Plc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amcor Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amcor Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amcor Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amcor Plc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amcor Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amcor Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amcor Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Amcor plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amcor Plc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amcor Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amcor Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amcor pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 12.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 50.38 | |||
| Variance | 2537.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amcor Plc
The number of cover stories for Amcor Plc depends on current market conditions and Amcor Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amcor Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amcor Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amcor Plc Short Properties
Amcor Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amcor Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amcor plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amcor Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amcor Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 775.00 |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Amcor Pink Sheet
When determining whether Amcor plc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amcor Plc's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amcor Plc's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amcor Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amcor Plc to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Amcor Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Amcor Plc guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.