Advanced Micro Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AMD Stock | USD 210.02 4.33 2.02% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advanced Micro Devices on the next trading day is expected to be 209.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.82. Advanced Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Advanced Micro stock prices and determine the direction of Advanced Micro Devices's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Advanced Micro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Advanced Micro's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Advanced Micro, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.603 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3336 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9679 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.4943 | Wall Street Target Price 283.8932 |
Using Advanced Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Advanced Micro Devices from the perspective of Advanced Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Advanced Micro using Advanced Micro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Advanced using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Advanced Micro's stock price.
Advanced Micro Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Advanced Micro's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Advanced. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Advanced Micro stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 164.345 | Short Percent 0.0222 | Short Ratio 0.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 37 M | 50 Day MA 227.0316 |
Advanced Micro Devices Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Advanced Micro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Advanced. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Advanced can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Advanced Micro Devices. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Advanced Micro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Advanced Micro.
Advanced Micro Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
Advanced Micro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Advanced Micro Devices stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Advanced Micro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Advanced Micro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Advanced Micro's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advanced Micro Devices on the next trading day is expected to be 209.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.82. Advanced Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 210.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Advanced Micro to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Advanced Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Advanced Micro's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Advanced Micro's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Advanced Micro stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Advanced Micro's open interest, investors have to compare it to Advanced Micro's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Advanced Micro is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Advanced. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Advanced Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Advanced price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advanced using various technical indicators. When you analyze Advanced charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Advanced Micro Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advanced Micro Devices on the next trading day is expected to be 209.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01, mean absolute percentage error of 64.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Advanced Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Advanced Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Advanced Micro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Advanced Micro | Advanced Micro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Advanced Micro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Advanced Micro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Advanced Micro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 206.54 and 213.36, respectively. We have considered Advanced Micro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Advanced Micro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Advanced Micro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0297 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0139 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 354.8199 |
Predictive Modules for Advanced Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Micro Devices. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Advanced Micro
For every potential investor in Advanced, whether a beginner or expert, Advanced Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Advanced Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Advanced. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Advanced Micro's price trends.Advanced Micro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Advanced Micro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Advanced Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advanced Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Advanced Micro Devices Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Advanced Micro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Advanced Micro's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Advanced Micro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Advanced Micro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Advanced Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Advanced Micro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Advanced Micro Devices entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0234 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.87) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 209.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 209.77 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.33) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.52 |
Advanced Micro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Advanced Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Advanced Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting advanced stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.74 | |||
| Variance | 22.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Advanced Micro Devices is a strong investment it is important to analyze Advanced Micro's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Advanced Micro's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Advanced Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Advanced Micro to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advanced Micro. If investors know Advanced will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advanced Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.603 | Earnings Share 1.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.356 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Advanced Micro Devices is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advanced that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advanced Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advanced Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advanced Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advanced Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advanced Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advanced Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advanced Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.