HLK Biotech Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AMHD Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HLK Biotech Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. HLK Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast HLK Biotech stock prices and determine the direction of HLK Biotech Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HLK Biotech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for HLK Biotech - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When HLK Biotech prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in HLK Biotech price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of HLK Biotech Holding.

HLK Biotech Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HLK Biotech Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HLK Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HLK Biotech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HLK Biotech Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest HLK BiotechHLK Biotech Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

HLK Biotech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HLK Biotech's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HLK Biotech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered HLK Biotech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.0002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
0.0002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HLK Biotech pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HLK Biotech pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past HLK Biotech observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older HLK Biotech Holding observations.

Predictive Modules for HLK Biotech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HLK Biotech Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HLK Biotech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HLK Biotech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HLK Biotech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HLK Biotech Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for HLK Biotech

For every potential investor in HLK, whether a beginner or expert, HLK Biotech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HLK Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HLK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HLK Biotech's price trends.

HLK Biotech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HLK Biotech pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HLK Biotech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HLK Biotech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HLK Biotech Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HLK Biotech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HLK Biotech's current price.

HLK Biotech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HLK Biotech pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HLK Biotech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HLK Biotech pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify HLK Biotech Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in HLK Pink Sheet

HLK Biotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether HLK Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HLK with respect to the benefits of owning HLK Biotech security.