Argent Mid Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| AMID Etf | USD 35.05 0.11 0.31% |
Argent Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Argent Mid stock prices and determine the direction of Argent Mid Cap's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Argent Mid's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Argent Mid's share price is at 53. This suggests that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Argent Mid, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Argent Mid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Argent Mid Cap from the perspective of Argent Mid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Argent Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 34.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.50. Argent Mid after-hype prediction price | USD 35.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Argent Mid to cross-verify your projections. Argent Mid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Argent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Argent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Argent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Argent Mid Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Argent Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 34.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Argent Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Argent Mid's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Argent Mid Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Argent Mid | Argent Mid Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Argent Mid Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Argent Mid's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Argent Mid's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.91 and 35.87, respectively. We have considered Argent Mid's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Argent Mid etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Argent Mid etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5981 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4112 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.4956 |
Predictive Modules for Argent Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argent Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Argent Mid After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Argent Mid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Argent Mid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Argent Mid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Argent Mid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Argent Mid's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Argent Mid's historical news coverage. Argent Mid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.07 and 36.03, respectively. We have considered Argent Mid's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Argent Mid is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Argent Mid Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Argent Mid Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Argent Mid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Argent Mid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Argent Mid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.05 | 35.05 | 0.00 |
|
Argent Mid Hype Timeline
Argent Mid Cap is presently traded for 35.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Argent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Argent Mid is about 462.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.04. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.71. Argent Mid Cap last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Argent Mid to cross-verify your projections.Argent Mid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Argent Mid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Argent Mid's future price movements. Getting to know how Argent Mid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Argent Mid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPUC | Simplify Equity PLUS | (0.19) | 2 per month | 1.45 | (0.04) | 1.50 | (2.42) | 5.83 | |
| FFND | The Future Fund | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.61 | (0.03) | 1.08 | (1.18) | 3.35 | |
| FEBW | AIM ETF Products | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.09 | (0.18) | 0.41 | (0.42) | 1.13 | |
| KURE | KraneShares MSCI All | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.09 | (2.09) | 7.50 | |
| ALTL | Pacer Lunt Large | (0.12) | 2 per month | 1.29 | (0.04) | 1.87 | (2.40) | 5.30 | |
| RSPR | Invesco SP 500 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0.08) | 1.23 | (1.47) | 3.05 | |
| UPGD | Invesco Exchange Traded | (0.81) | 5 per month | 0.68 | (0.02) | 1.53 | (1.02) | 3.84 | |
| RAYD | Rayliant Quantitative Developed | (0.81) | 2 per month | 0.89 | (0.04) | 1.94 | (1.15) | 7.93 | |
| YSEP | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.28 | (0.06) | 0.63 | (0.59) | 1.87 | |
| SIXO | AIM ETF Products | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.33 | (0.11) | 0.56 | (0.61) | 2.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Argent Mid
For every potential investor in Argent, whether a beginner or expert, Argent Mid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Argent Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Argent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Argent Mid's price trends.Argent Mid Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Argent Mid etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Argent Mid could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argent Mid by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Argent Mid Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Argent Mid etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Argent Mid shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Argent Mid etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Argent Mid Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Argent Mid Risk Indicators
The analysis of Argent Mid's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Argent Mid's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting argent etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7718 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9835 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9826 | |||
| Variance | 0.9655 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9672 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Argent Mid
The number of cover stories for Argent Mid depends on current market conditions and Argent Mid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Argent Mid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Argent Mid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Argent Mid to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
The market value of Argent Mid Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Argent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Argent Mid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Argent Mid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Argent Mid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Argent Mid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Argent Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argent Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argent Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.