Alpha Modus Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AMOD Stock | 0.94 0.01 1.05% |
Alpha Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alpha Modus stock prices and determine the direction of Alpha Modus Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alpha Modus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Alpha Modus' share price is at 59. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alpha Modus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alpha Modus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alpha Modus Holdings from the perspective of Alpha Modus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Alpha Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alpha Modus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38.Alpha Modus Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alpha Modus' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alpha. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alpha can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alpha Modus Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alpha Modus' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alpha Modus.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alpha Modus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38. Alpha Modus after-hype prediction price | USD 0.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alpha Modus to cross-verify your projections. Alpha Modus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alpha price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alpha using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alpha charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alpha Modus Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alpha Modus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alpha Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alpha Modus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alpha Modus Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alpha Modus | Alpha Modus Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alpha Modus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alpha Modus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alpha Modus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.54, respectively. We have considered Alpha Modus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alpha Modus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alpha Modus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0403 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0561 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3779 |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Modus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Modus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alpha Modus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alpha Modus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alpha Modus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alpha Modus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alpha Modus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alpha Modus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alpha Modus' historical news coverage. Alpha Modus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 8.51, respectively. We have considered Alpha Modus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alpha Modus is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alpha Modus Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alpha Modus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alpha Modus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alpha Modus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alpha Modus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 7.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 37 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.94 | 0.94 | 0.00 |
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Alpha Modus Hype Timeline
Alpha Modus Holdings is presently traded for 0.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alpha is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alpha Modus is about 13763.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.94. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.15. Alpha Modus Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 37 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alpha Modus to cross-verify your projections.Alpha Modus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alpha Modus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alpha Modus' future price movements. Getting to know how Alpha Modus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alpha Modus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMSI | Smith Micro Software | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.56 | (6.35) | 19.70 | |
| AMST | Amesite Operating Co | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.82 | (8.49) | 30.71 | |
| STEC | Santech Holdings Limited | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 59.38 | (10.98) | 30,613 | |
| WCT | Wellchange Holdings | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.56 | (7.41) | 29.28 | |
| ELWS | Earlyworks Co Ltd | (0.17) | 19 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 11.79 | (10.96) | 87,458 | |
| BNZI | Banzai International | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 13.56 | (13.33) | 48.98 | |
| CXAI | CXApp Inc | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 10.00 | (10.87) | 36.84 | |
| RYDE | Ryde Group | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.68 | (9.80) | 36.06 | |
| HUBC | Hub Cyber Security | 0.42 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 8.94 | (17.81) | 90.82 | |
| NVNI | Nvni Group Limited | 0.62 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.73 | (8.44) | 29.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alpha Modus
For every potential investor in Alpha, whether a beginner or expert, Alpha Modus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alpha Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alpha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alpha Modus' price trends.Alpha Modus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alpha Modus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alpha Modus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alpha Modus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alpha Modus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alpha Modus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alpha Modus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alpha Modus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alpha Modus Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alpha Modus Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alpha Modus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alpha Modus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alpha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.36 | |||
| Variance | 54.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alpha Modus
The number of cover stories for Alpha Modus depends on current market conditions and Alpha Modus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alpha Modus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alpha Modus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alpha Modus Short Properties
Alpha Modus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Alpha Modus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alpha Modus Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alpha Modus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Modus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 735.8 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alpha Modus to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpha Modus. If investors know Alpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alpha Modus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Alpha Modus Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alpha Modus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alpha Modus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alpha Modus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alpha Modus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpha Modus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpha Modus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpha Modus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.