Abitibi Metals OTC Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| AMQFF Stock | 0.52 0.02 3.70% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Abitibi Metals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Abitibi Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abitibi Metals Corp from the perspective of Abitibi Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Abitibi Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.47. Abitibi Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 0.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Abitibi |
Abitibi Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abitibi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abitibi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abitibi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Abitibi Metals Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Abitibi Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abitibi OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abitibi Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Abitibi Metals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
Abitibi Metals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Abitibi Metals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abitibi Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.97, respectively. We have considered Abitibi Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abitibi Metals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abitibi Metals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3037 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0617 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.4718 |
Predictive Modules for Abitibi Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abitibi Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abitibi Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abitibi Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abitibi Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Abitibi Metals Corp.Abitibi Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Abitibi Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abitibi Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Abitibi Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abitibi Metals OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Abitibi Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abitibi Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abitibi Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.56 | 6.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.52 | 0.52 | 0.00 |
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Abitibi Metals Hype Timeline
Abitibi Metals Corp is presently traded for 0.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Abitibi is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abitibi Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.52. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Abitibi Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abitibi Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abitibi Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Abitibi Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abitibi Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGLCF | Cassiar Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.56 | 0.14 | 12.50 | (7.14) | 33.33 | |
| HWAUF | Headwater Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.80 | 0.03 | 9.76 | (6.12) | 45.74 | |
| ALVLF | Big Ridge Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.82 | 0.15 | 11.11 | (9.09) | 29.39 | |
| GGLDF | Getchell Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.04 | 0.04 | 7.14 | (6.67) | 24.53 | |
| GPTRF | Grande Portage Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.33 | 0.16 | 12.50 | (6.06) | 34.31 | |
| GFGSF | GFG Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.89 | 0.07 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 20.36 | |
| SADMF | Sanatana Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 31.58 | (13.64) | 23,710 | |
| VLCJF | Velocity Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.38 | |
| RRDMF | Royal Road Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.71 | 0.05 | 12.50 | (7.14) | 45.24 | |
| WTHVF | Westhaven Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.18 | 0.07 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 60.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Abitibi Metals
For every potential investor in Abitibi, whether a beginner or expert, Abitibi Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abitibi OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abitibi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abitibi Metals' price trends.Abitibi Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abitibi Metals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abitibi Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abitibi Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Abitibi Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abitibi Metals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abitibi Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abitibi Metals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Abitibi Metals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Abitibi Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Abitibi Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abitibi Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abitibi otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.16 | |||
| Variance | 37.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Abitibi Metals
The number of cover stories for Abitibi Metals depends on current market conditions and Abitibi Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abitibi Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abitibi Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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