Amarin PLC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AMRN Stock | USD 16.51 1.22 7.98% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amarin PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 13.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.94. Amarin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Amarin PLC's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amarin PLC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amarin PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amarin PLC from the perspective of Amarin PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amarin PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 13.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.94. Amarin PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 16.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amarin PLC to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Amarin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Amarin PLC guide.Amarin PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amarin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amarin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amarin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amarin PLC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amarin PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 13.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amarin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amarin PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amarin PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Amarin PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amarin PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amarin PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.20 and 17.69, respectively. We have considered Amarin PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amarin PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amarin PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2584 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8843 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0574 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.9405 |
Predictive Modules for Amarin PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amarin PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amarin PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amarin PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amarin PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amarin PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amarin PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amarin PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amarin PLC's historical news coverage. Amarin PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.77 and 20.25, respectively. We have considered Amarin PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amarin PLC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amarin PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amarin PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amarin PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amarin PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amarin PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 3.74 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.51 | 16.51 | 0.00 |
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Amarin PLC Hype Timeline
Amarin PLC is presently traded for 16.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Amarin is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amarin PLC is about 11000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.50. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.7. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Amarin PLC has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 590.0. The entity recorded a loss per share of 4.2. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Amarin PLC had 1:20 split on the 11th of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amarin PLC to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Amarin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Amarin PLC guide.Amarin PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amarin PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amarin PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Amarin PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amarin PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLN | Silence Therapeutics PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.88 | (5.28) | 22.91 | |
| ANRO | Alto Neuroscience | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.84 | 0.13 | 11.18 | (8.77) | 31.43 | |
| ACIU | AC Immune | (0.21) | 3 per month | 4.89 | 0.04 | 9.09 | (8.36) | 26.05 | |
| CLLS | Cellectis SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.09 | 0.08 | 9.24 | (5.42) | 29.31 | |
| LRMR | Larimar Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.41 | (7.49) | 20.14 | |
| KRRO | Frequency Therapeutics | 0.30 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.98 | (8.07) | 91.55 | |
| DBVT | DBV Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.71 | 0.12 | 10.53 | (6.66) | 36.36 | |
| ENGN | enGene Holdings Common | (0.41) | 5 per month | 4.47 | 0.02 | 7.00 | (6.92) | 61.40 | |
| ALT | Altimmune | (0.10) | 7 per month | 4.47 | 0.06 | 7.61 | (4.73) | 33.75 | |
| LYEL | Lyell Immunopharma | 0.08 | 6 per month | 4.13 | 0.12 | 12.12 | (7.92) | 31.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amarin PLC
For every potential investor in Amarin, whether a beginner or expert, Amarin PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amarin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amarin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amarin PLC's price trends.Amarin PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amarin PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amarin PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amarin PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amarin PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amarin PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amarin PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amarin PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amarin PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amarin PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amarin PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amarin PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amarin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.74 | |||
| Variance | 14.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amarin PLC
The number of cover stories for Amarin PLC depends on current market conditions and Amarin PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amarin PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amarin PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amarin PLC Short Properties
Amarin PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amarin PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amarin PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amarin PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amarin PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 410.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 294.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amarin PLC to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Amarin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Amarin PLC guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amarin PLC. If investors know Amarin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amarin PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Amarin PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amarin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amarin PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amarin PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amarin PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amarin PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amarin PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amarin PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amarin PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.