Amneal Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

AMRX Stock  USD 13.41  0.22  1.67%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class on the next trading day is expected to be 13.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58. Amneal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' stock price is slightly above 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amneal, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 90

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Amneal Pharmaceuticals' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.61
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1786
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7965
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9366
Wall Street Target Price
14.4
Using Amneal Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class from the perspective of Amneal Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amneal Pharmaceuticals using Amneal Pharmaceuticals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amneal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' stock price.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Short Interest

An investor who is long Amneal Pharmaceuticals may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Amneal Pharmaceuticals and may potentially protect profits, hedge Amneal Pharmaceuticals with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.5474
Short Percent
0.0338
Short Ratio
3.64
Shares Short Prior Month
5.3 M
50 Day MA
12.3543

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Amneal Pharmaceuticals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amneal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amneal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amneal Pharmaceuticals.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Implied Volatility

    
  1.16  
Amneal Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amneal Pharmaceuticals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amneal Pharmaceuticals' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class on the next trading day is expected to be 13.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amneal Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.
Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 6.81 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.92 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 187.8 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (111.1 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amneal Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amneal Pharmaceuticals' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amneal Pharmaceuticals' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amneal Pharmaceuticals' open interest, investors have to compare it to Amneal Pharmaceuticals' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amneal Pharmaceuticals is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amneal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Amneal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amneal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amneal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Amneal Pharmaceuticals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Amneal Pharmaceuticals prices get older.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class on the next trading day is expected to be 13.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amneal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amneal Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amneal PharmaceuticalsAmneal Pharmaceuticals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amneal Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amneal Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.42 and 15.40, respectively. We have considered Amneal Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.41
13.41
Expected Value
15.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3714
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0497
MADMean absolute deviation0.1763
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0149
SAESum of the absolute errors10.58
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Amneal Pharmaceuticals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Amneal Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amneal Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8512.8414.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5314.5216.51
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.1014.4015.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.190.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Amneal Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Amneal, whether a beginner or expert, Amneal Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amneal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amneal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amneal Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amneal Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amneal Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' current price.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amneal Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amneal Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amneal Pharmaceuticals Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amneal Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amneal Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amneal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Amneal Stock Analysis

When running Amneal Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Amneal Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amneal Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amneal Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amneal Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amneal Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.