ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

AMSYF Stock  USD 43.36  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ArcelorMittal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 43.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.49. ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ArcelorMittal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ArcelorMittal's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ArcelorMittal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ArcelorMittal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ArcelorMittal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ArcelorMittal SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ArcelorMittal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ArcelorMittal SA from the perspective of ArcelorMittal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ArcelorMittal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 43.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.49.

ArcelorMittal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ArcelorMittal to cross-verify your projections.

ArcelorMittal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ArcelorMittal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ArcelorMittal using various technical indicators. When you analyze ArcelorMittal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for ArcelorMittal is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ArcelorMittal SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ArcelorMittal Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ArcelorMittal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 43.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ArcelorMittal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ArcelorMittalArcelorMittal Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ArcelorMittal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ArcelorMittal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ArcelorMittal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.78 and 45.72, respectively. We have considered ArcelorMittal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.36
43.25
Expected Value
45.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ArcelorMittal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ArcelorMittal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0706
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6965
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors42.4857
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ArcelorMittal SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ArcelorMittal. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ArcelorMittal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ArcelorMittal SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ArcelorMittal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.8943.3645.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.5641.0343.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.0442.3946.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ArcelorMittal

For every potential investor in ArcelorMittal, whether a beginner or expert, ArcelorMittal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ArcelorMittal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ArcelorMittal's price trends.

ArcelorMittal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ArcelorMittal pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ArcelorMittal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ArcelorMittal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ArcelorMittal SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ArcelorMittal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ArcelorMittal's current price.

ArcelorMittal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ArcelorMittal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ArcelorMittal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ArcelorMittal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ArcelorMittal SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ArcelorMittal Risk Indicators

The analysis of ArcelorMittal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ArcelorMittal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arcelormittal pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet

ArcelorMittal financial ratios help investors to determine whether ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ArcelorMittal with respect to the benefits of owning ArcelorMittal security.