ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AMSYF Stock | USD 25.10 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ArcelorMittal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.95. ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ArcelorMittal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
ArcelorMittal |
ArcelorMittal Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ArcelorMittal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 26.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ArcelorMittal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ArcelorMittal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ArcelorMittal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7141 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.196 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.9537 |
Predictive Modules for ArcelorMittal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ArcelorMittal SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ArcelorMittal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ArcelorMittal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ArcelorMittal pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ArcelorMittal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ArcelorMittal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ArcelorMittal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ArcelorMittal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ArcelorMittal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ArcelorMittal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ArcelorMittal SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ArcelorMittal Risk Indicators
The analysis of ArcelorMittal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ArcelorMittal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arcelormittal pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6052 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Variance | 3.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet
ArcelorMittal financial ratios help investors to determine whether ArcelorMittal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ArcelorMittal with respect to the benefits of owning ArcelorMittal security.