Andrea Electronic Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ANDR Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Andrea Electronic Cp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000167 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. Andrea Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Andrea Electronic's share price is at 50. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Andrea Electronic, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Andrea Electronic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Andrea Electronic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Andrea Electronic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Andrea Electronic Cp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Andrea Electronic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Andrea Electronic Cp from the perspective of Andrea Electronic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Andrea Electronic Cp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000167 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.

Andrea Electronic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Andrea Electronic to cross-verify your projections.

Andrea Electronic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Andrea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Andrea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Andrea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Andrea Electronic simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Andrea Electronic Cp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Andrea Electronic prices get older.

Andrea Electronic Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Andrea Electronic Cp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000167, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Andrea Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Andrea Electronic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Andrea Electronic Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Andrea ElectronicAndrea Electronic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Andrea Electronic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Andrea Electronic's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Andrea Electronic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 128.89, respectively. We have considered Andrea Electronic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
128.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Andrea Electronic pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Andrea Electronic pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.7576
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0E-4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Andrea Electronic Cp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Andrea Electronic observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Andrea Electronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Andrea Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Andrea Electronic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Andrea Electronic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Andrea Electronic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Andrea Electronic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Andrea Electronic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Andrea Electronic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Andrea Electronic's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Andrea Electronic's historical news coverage. Andrea Electronic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Andrea Electronic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
50.01
Upside
Andrea Electronic is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Andrea Electronic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Andrea Electronic Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Andrea Electronic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Andrea Electronic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Andrea Electronic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  14.75 
128.89
 0.00  
  0.50 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Andrea Electronic Hype Timeline

Andrea Electronic is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.5. Andrea is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 14.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Andrea Electronic is about 379088.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.5. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Andrea Electronic last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 1989. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of September 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Andrea Electronic to cross-verify your projections.

Andrea Electronic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Andrea Electronic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Andrea Electronic's future price movements. Getting to know how Andrea Electronic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Andrea Electronic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AURTAttune RTD 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FRXXForecross Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RKFLRocketFuel Blockchain 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WMDHWMD Holdings Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WDDDWorlds Inc(0.17)8 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  1,050 
GOLQGoLogiq 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  1,099 
LFINLongFin Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  100.00 
NTURNatural Blue Resources(0.17)8 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NTPYNetPay International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  75.00 
DUSYFDuesenberg Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  100.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Andrea Electronic

For every potential investor in Andrea, whether a beginner or expert, Andrea Electronic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Andrea Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Andrea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Andrea Electronic's price trends.

Andrea Electronic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Andrea Electronic pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Andrea Electronic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Andrea Electronic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Andrea Electronic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Andrea Electronic pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Andrea Electronic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Andrea Electronic pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Andrea Electronic Cp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Andrea Electronic

The number of cover stories for Andrea Electronic depends on current market conditions and Andrea Electronic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Andrea Electronic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Andrea Electronic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Andrea Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Andrea Electronic's price analysis, check to measure Andrea Electronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Andrea Electronic is operating at the current time. Most of Andrea Electronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Andrea Electronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Andrea Electronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Andrea Electronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.