Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ANEB Stock  USD 1.46  0.04  2.67%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.04. Anebulo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Anebulo Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 390.1 K, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.9 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Anebulo Pharmaceuticals works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anebulo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Anebulo PharmaceuticalsAnebulo Pharmaceuticals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.46, respectively. We have considered Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.46
1.45
Expected Value
10.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anebulo Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0332
MADMean absolute deviation0.1023
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0515
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0368
When Anebulo Pharmaceuticals prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Anebulo Pharmaceuticals trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Anebulo Pharmaceuticals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Anebulo Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anebulo Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5010.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.4410.46
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.926.507.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Anebulo Pharmaceuticals

For every potential investor in Anebulo, whether a beginner or expert, Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anebulo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anebulo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' price trends.

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anebulo Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anebulo Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' current price.

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anebulo Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anebulo Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anebulo Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Anebulo Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anebulo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Anebulo Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Anebulo Stock refer to our How to Trade Anebulo Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Anebulo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Anebulo Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.32)
Return On Assets
(0.66)
Return On Equity
(1.14)
The market value of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Anebulo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anebulo Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anebulo Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.