Antofagasta PLC Pink Sheet Forward View

ANFGF Stock  USD 52.16  1.15  2.25%   
Antofagasta Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Antofagasta PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Antofagasta PLC's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Antofagasta PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Antofagasta PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Antofagasta PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Antofagasta PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Antofagasta PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Antofagasta PLC from the perspective of Antofagasta PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Antofagasta PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 50.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.12.

Antofagasta PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 52.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antofagasta PLC to cross-verify your projections.

Antofagasta PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Antofagasta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Antofagasta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Antofagasta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Antofagasta PLC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Antofagasta PLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Antofagasta PLC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Antofagasta PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 50.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Antofagasta Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Antofagasta PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Antofagasta PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Antofagasta PLC  Antofagasta PLC Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Antofagasta PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Antofagasta PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Antofagasta PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.95 and 54.02, respectively. We have considered Antofagasta PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.16
50.98
Expected Value
54.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Antofagasta PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Antofagasta PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1415
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9051
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors56.1183
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Antofagasta PLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Antofagasta PLC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Antofagasta PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antofagasta PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.1352.1655.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.9455.9158.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Antofagasta PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Antofagasta PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Antofagasta PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Antofagasta PLC.

Antofagasta PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Antofagasta PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Antofagasta PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Antofagasta PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Antofagasta PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Antofagasta PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Antofagasta PLC's historical news coverage. Antofagasta PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.13 and 55.19, respectively. We have considered Antofagasta PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
52.16
52.16
After-hype Price
55.19
Upside
Antofagasta PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Antofagasta PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Antofagasta PLC Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Antofagasta PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antofagasta PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Antofagasta PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.60 
3.03
 0.00  
  0.13 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.16
52.16
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Antofagasta PLC Hype Timeline

Antofagasta PLC is presently traded for 52.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.13. Antofagasta is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Antofagasta PLC is about 1371.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.29. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Antofagasta PLC was presently reported as 7.54. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antofagasta PLC to cross-verify your projections.

Antofagasta PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Antofagasta PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Antofagasta PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Antofagasta PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Antofagasta PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GVDBFGivaudan SA 0.85 4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.73 (3.80) 14.39 
GVDNYGivaudan SA ADR(0.34)30 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.25 (1.88) 9.88 
PTPIFPT Chandra Asri 0.85 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GFIOFGold Fields Limited 0.85 4 per month 2.20  0.02  7.72 (3.74) 20.91 
PTCAYChandra Asri Petrochemical 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CHHQYChina Hongqiao Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  32.40 
UCLQFUltraTech Cement Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SKFOFSika AG 0.00 0 per month 1.84  0.02  2.78 (2.11) 16.75 
SXYAYSika AG ADR 0.00 0 per month 2.05  0.02  2.57 (2.11) 14.37 
AAUKFAnglo American plc 0.00 0 per month 1.86  0.12  5.62 (3.36) 14.94 

Other Forecasting Options for Antofagasta PLC

For every potential investor in Antofagasta, whether a beginner or expert, Antofagasta PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Antofagasta Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Antofagasta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Antofagasta PLC's price trends.

Antofagasta PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Antofagasta PLC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Antofagasta PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Antofagasta PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Antofagasta PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Antofagasta PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Antofagasta PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Antofagasta PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Antofagasta PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Antofagasta PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Antofagasta PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Antofagasta PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting antofagasta pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Antofagasta PLC

The number of cover stories for Antofagasta PLC depends on current market conditions and Antofagasta PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Antofagasta PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Antofagasta PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Antofagasta Pink Sheet

Antofagasta PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Antofagasta Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Antofagasta with respect to the benefits of owning Antofagasta PLC security.