VanEck Fallen Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ANGL Etf | USD 29.53 0.05 0.17% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Fallen Angel on the next trading day is expected to be 29.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41. VanEck Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck Fallen's share price is above 70 as of now. This suggests that the etf is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling VanEck, making its price go up or down. Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Fallen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Fallen Angel from the perspective of VanEck Fallen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Fallen using VanEck Fallen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Fallen's stock price.
VanEck Fallen Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
VanEck Fallen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Fallen Angel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Fallen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Fallen stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Fallen's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Fallen Angel on the next trading day is expected to be 29.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41. VanEck Fallen after-hype prediction price | USD 29.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Fallen to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 VanEck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck Fallen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck Fallen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck Fallen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck Fallen's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck Fallen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck Fallen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
VanEck Fallen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck Fallen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Fallen Angel on the next trading day is expected to be 29.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Fallen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VanEck Fallen Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VanEck Fallen | VanEck Fallen Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VanEck Fallen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VanEck Fallen's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Fallen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.34 and 29.82, respectively. We have considered VanEck Fallen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Fallen etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Fallen etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3031 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0722 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.4052 |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Fallen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Fallen Angel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Fallen
For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Fallen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Fallen's price trends.VanEck Fallen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Fallen etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Fallen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Fallen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VanEck Fallen Angel Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VanEck Fallen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VanEck Fallen's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck Fallen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Fallen etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Fallen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Fallen etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Fallen Angel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VanEck Fallen Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck Fallen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Fallen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1766 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1915 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2332 | |||
| Variance | 0.0544 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0598 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0367 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Fallen to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
The market value of VanEck Fallen Angel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Fallen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Fallen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Fallen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Fallen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Fallen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Fallen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Fallen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.