Amundi SA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ANI Stock | EUR 80.95 4.10 5.34% |
Amundi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Amundi SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Amundi SA's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.78) |
Using Amundi SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amundi SA from the perspective of Amundi SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amundi SA on the next trading day is expected to be 80.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.75. Amundi SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 81.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amundi |
Amundi SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amundi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amundi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amundi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amundi SA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amundi SA on the next trading day is expected to be 80.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amundi SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amundi SA | Amundi SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Amundi SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amundi SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amundi SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.48 and 82.42, respectively. We have considered Amundi SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2715 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2828 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7992 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.75 |
Predictive Modules for Amundi SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amundi SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amundi SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amundi SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amundi SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amundi SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amundi SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amundi SA's historical news coverage. Amundi SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.95 and 82.89, respectively. We have considered Amundi SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amundi SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amundi SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amundi SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amundi SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amundi SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amundi SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.47 | 0.47 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
80.95 | 81.42 | 0.58 |
|
Amundi SA Hype Timeline
Amundi SA is presently traded for 80.95on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Amundi is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 81.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 108.89%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Amundi SA is about 6431.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.94. The company reported the revenue of 6.19 B. Net Income was 1.3 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amundi SA to cross-verify your projections.Amundi SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amundi SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amundi SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Amundi SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amundi SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 9YM | KRISPY KREME DL 01 | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.36 | (6.32) | 22.80 | |
| G4C | Ventura Offshore Holding | 0.00 | 2 per month | 3.17 | 0.08 | 6.13 | (5.23) | 20.93 | |
| Z85 | AUSTEVOLL SEAFOOD | 0.26 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.38 | (2.19) | 8.32 | |
| 8SF | Sligro Food Group | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.80 | 0.16 | 3.21 | (1.80) | 6.26 | |
| QCH | COMPUTERSHARE | (0.40) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.56 | (2.00) | 5.35 | |
| LGA | LG Display Co | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.19 | (3.74) | 10.23 | |
| S5H0 | SIEM OFFSHORE NEW | 0.02 | 1 per month | 1.65 | 0.15 | 3.54 | (3.29) | 12.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amundi SA
For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi SA's price trends.Amundi SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amundi SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amundi SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amundi SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amundi SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amundi SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amundi SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amundi SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amundi SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7709 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5943 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amundi SA
The number of cover stories for Amundi SA depends on current market conditions and Amundi SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amundi SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amundi SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Amundi SA Short Properties
Amundi SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amundi SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amundi SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amundi SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amundi SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 203.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 4.25 | |
| Shares Float | 58.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Amundi Stock
Amundi SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi SA security.