Alpha One Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

AOAO Stock  USD 2.38  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alpha One on the next trading day is expected to be 2.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Alpha Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Alpha One price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Alpha One Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Alpha One on the next trading day is expected to be 2.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alpha Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alpha One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alpha One Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alpha OneAlpha One Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alpha One Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alpha One's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alpha One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.38 and 2.38, respectively. We have considered Alpha One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.38
2.38
Expected Value
2.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alpha One pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alpha One pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria52.2345
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Alpha One historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Alpha One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.382.382.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.382.382.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alpha One. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alpha One's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alpha One's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alpha One.

Other Forecasting Options for Alpha One

For every potential investor in Alpha, whether a beginner or expert, Alpha One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alpha Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alpha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alpha One's price trends.

Alpha One Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alpha One pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alpha One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alpha One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alpha One Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alpha One's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alpha One's current price.

Alpha One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alpha One pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alpha One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alpha One pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alpha One entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pair Trading with Alpha One

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alpha One position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alpha One will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alpha One could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alpha One when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alpha One - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alpha One to buy it.
The correlation of Alpha One is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alpha One moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alpha One moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alpha One can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Alpha Pink Sheet

Alpha One financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpha Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpha with respect to the benefits of owning Alpha One security.