Aberdeen Total Fund Forward View

AOD Fund  USD 9.99  0.03  0.30%   
Aberdeen Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aberdeen Total stock prices and determine the direction of Aberdeen Total Dynamic's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Aberdeen Total's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Aberdeen Total's fund price is about 67. This suggests that the fund is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aberdeen, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aberdeen Total's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aberdeen Total and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aberdeen Total's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aberdeen Total Dynamic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aberdeen Total hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Total Dynamic from the perspective of Aberdeen Total response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Total Dynamic on the next trading day is expected to be 9.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41.

Aberdeen Total after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aberdeen Total to cross-verify your projections.

Aberdeen Total Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Aberdeen Total is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aberdeen Total Dynamic value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aberdeen Total Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Total Dynamic on the next trading day is expected to be 9.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aberdeen Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aberdeen Total's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aberdeen Total Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aberdeen Total  Aberdeen Total Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Aberdeen Total Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aberdeen Total's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aberdeen Total's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.10 and 10.79, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Total's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.99
9.95
Expected Value
10.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen Total fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen Total fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0621
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0712
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4128
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aberdeen Total Dynamic. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aberdeen Total. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Total Dynamic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1510.0010.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2610.1110.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.639.8710.12
Details

Aberdeen Total After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Total at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Total or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Total, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aberdeen Total Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aberdeen Total's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Total's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Total's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.15 and 10.85, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Total's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.99
10.00
After-hype Price
10.85
Upside
Aberdeen Total is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Total Dynamic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aberdeen Total Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Aberdeen Total is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Total backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Total, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
0.85
  0.01 
  0.46 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.99
10.00
0.10 
1,214  
Notes

Aberdeen Total Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February Aberdeen Total Dynamic is traded for 9.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.46. Aberdeen is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Total is about 27.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.53. The company reported the last year's revenue of 65.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (45.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 82.43 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aberdeen Total to cross-verify your projections.

Aberdeen Total Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Total's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Total's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Total's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Total may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VEVFXVanguard Explorer Value(0.18)1 per month 0.64  0.15  2.44 (1.62) 11.19 
RYSEXRoyce Special Equity(0.03)1 per month 0.05  0.14  1.83 (1.10) 15.38 
CRFCornerstone Total Return(0.03)1 per month 0.47 (0) 0.78 (0.90) 2.58 
MPIEXMondrian International Value 0.00 0 per month 0.40  0.14  1.22 (1.05) 4.68 
RSEFXRoyce Special Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.15  0.14  1.83 (1.17) 15.42 
SWDRXSchwab Target 2030 0.06 2 per month 0.26  0.09  0.76 (0.68) 4.10 
PEXMXT Rowe Price(23.64)8 per month 0.99  0.01  1.69 (1.78) 3.78 
PDXPimco Energy Tactical(0.26)7 per month 0.70  0.05  1.33 (1.36) 4.23 
PABFXPrudential Balanced Fund(6.83)3 per month 0.42 (0.02) 0.73 (0.87) 2.18 
PTEZXPrudential Qma Large Cap 0.14 1 per month 0.50  0.12  1.40 (1.19) 12.15 

Other Forecasting Options for Aberdeen Total

For every potential investor in Aberdeen, whether a beginner or expert, Aberdeen Total's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aberdeen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aberdeen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aberdeen Total's price trends.

Aberdeen Total Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aberdeen Total fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aberdeen Total could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aberdeen Total by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aberdeen Total Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aberdeen Total fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aberdeen Total shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aberdeen Total fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Aberdeen Total Dynamic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aberdeen Total Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aberdeen Total's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aberdeen Total's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aberdeen fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Aberdeen Total

The number of cover stories for Aberdeen Total depends on current market conditions and Aberdeen Total's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aberdeen Total is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aberdeen Total's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund

Aberdeen Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Total security.
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