Aferian Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Aferian Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aferian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aferian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aferian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Aferian Plc is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aferian Plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aferian Plc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aferian Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Aferian Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aferian Plc

Aferian Plc Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aferian Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aferian Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aferian Plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aferian Plc. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aferian Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aferian Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.05 0.05 0.05 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.04 0.04 0.06 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.05 0.05 0.05 Details

Aferian Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Aferian Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aferian Plc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Aferian Plc Hype Timeline

Aferian Plc is presently traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aferian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aferian Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aferian Plc last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Aferian Plc Related Hype Analysis

Aferian Plc Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Aferian Plc Market Strength Events

Story Coverage note for Aferian Plc

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Consideration for investing in Aferian Pink Sheet