Alger Small Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

Alger Small Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Alger Small price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Alger Small Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Alger Small Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 23.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.28.

Alger Small Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Alger Small Price Prediction

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Alger Small Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alger Small mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alger Small mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Alger Small Cap historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Alger Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alger Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 20.49 22.10 23.71 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 21.21 22.82 24.43 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 21.09 22.48 23.88 Details

Alger Small After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Alger Small Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Alger Small Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Alger Small Hype Timeline

Alger Small Cap is presently traded for 23.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Alger is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 10.56%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -5.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Alger Small is about 79.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alger Small to cross-verify your projections.

Alger Small Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Alger Small

For every potential investor in Alger, whether a beginner or expert, Alger Small's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alger Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alger Small's price trends.

Alger Small Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Alger Small Market Strength Events

Alger Small Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Alger Small

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund