APA Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

APA Stock  USD 22.44  0.31  1.40%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APA Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 22.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.75. APA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast APA stock prices and determine the direction of APA Corporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of APA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, APA's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.87, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.95. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 3.3 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 295.8 M.
A two period moving average forecast for APA is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

APA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APA Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 22.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict APA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that APA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

APA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest APAAPA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

APA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting APA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. APA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.59 and 25.29, respectively. We have considered APA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.44
22.44
Expected Value
25.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of APA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent APA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1589
MADMean absolute deviation0.5958
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors35.745
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of APA Corporation price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of APA. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for APA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APA Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7622.6025.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2029.0131.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.9122.5424.17
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.7750.3055.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for APA

For every potential investor in APA, whether a beginner or expert, APA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. APA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in APA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying APA's price trends.

APA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with APA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of APA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing APA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

APA Corporation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of APA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of APA's current price.

APA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how APA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading APA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying APA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify APA Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

APA Risk Indicators

The analysis of APA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in APA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether APA Corporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of APA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Apa Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Apa Corporation Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of APA to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of APA. If investors know APA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about APA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.186
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
7.04
Revenue Per Share
26.553
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.104
The market value of APA Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of APA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of APA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is APA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because APA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect APA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between APA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.