Agora Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| API Stock | USD 4.28 0.30 7.54% |
Agora Inc's Simple Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The Simple Moving Average model projects Agora at 4.28 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Agora at 4.28 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 6.32 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Agora's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Agora | Agora Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Agora's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. Downside is estimated near 1.41 and upside near 7.15. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Agora stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2423 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0019 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1054 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0265 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.325 |
Other Forecasting Options for Agora
Bollinger Bands applied to Agora Stock price data measure how far Agora has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Agora's price data.Agora Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Information Technology space frame Agora's pricing and running costs in context. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Agora's results. Peer review is most informative when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Agora Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Agora quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Agora.
Agora Risk Indicators
Analyzing Agora's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Agora helps place recent price behavior in context.
| Mean Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Agora Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Agora reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.86 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 219.69 million |