Api Multi-asset Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

APIIX Fund  USD 9.29  0.01  0.11%   
Api Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Api Multi-asset's share price is at 58. This suggests that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Api Multi-asset, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Api Multi-asset's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Api Multi Asset Income, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Api Multi-asset hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Api Multi Asset Income from the perspective of Api Multi-asset response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Api Multi Asset Income on the next trading day is expected to be 9.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58.

Api Multi-asset after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Api Multi-asset to cross-verify your projections.

Api Multi-asset Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Api price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Api using various technical indicators. When you analyze Api charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Api Multi-asset works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Api Multi-asset Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Api Multi Asset Income on the next trading day is expected to be 9.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Api Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Api Multi-asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Api Multi-asset Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Api Multi-asset  Api Multi-asset Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Api Multi-asset Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Api Multi-asset's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Api Multi-asset's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.17 and 9.41, respectively. We have considered Api Multi-asset's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.29
9.29
Expected Value
9.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Api Multi-asset mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Api Multi-asset mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0019
MADMean absolute deviation0.0099
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0011
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5814
When Api Multi Asset Income prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Api Multi Asset Income trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Api Multi-asset observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Api Multi-asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Api Multi Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.179.299.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.428.5410.22
Details

Api Multi-asset After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Api Multi-asset at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Api Multi-asset or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Api Multi-asset, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Api Multi-asset Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Api Multi-asset's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Api Multi-asset's historical news coverage. Api Multi-asset's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.17 and 9.41, respectively. We have considered Api Multi-asset's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.29
9.29
After-hype Price
9.41
Upside
Api Multi-asset is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Api Multi Asset is based on 3 months time horizon.

Api Multi-asset Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Api Multi-asset is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Api Multi-asset backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Api Multi-asset, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.12
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.29
9.29
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Api Multi-asset Hype Timeline

Api Multi Asset is presently traded for 9.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Api is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Api Multi-asset is about 7.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.31. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Api Multi-asset to cross-verify your projections.

Api Multi-asset Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Api Multi-asset's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Api Multi-asset's future price movements. Getting to know how Api Multi-asset's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Api Multi-asset may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Api Multi-asset

For every potential investor in Api, whether a beginner or expert, Api Multi-asset's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Api Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Api. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Api Multi-asset's price trends.

Api Multi-asset Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Api Multi-asset mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Api Multi-asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Api Multi-asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Api Multi-asset Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Api Multi-asset mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Api Multi-asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Api Multi-asset mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Api Multi Asset Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Api Multi-asset Risk Indicators

The analysis of Api Multi-asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Api Multi-asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting api mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Api Multi-asset

The number of cover stories for Api Multi-asset depends on current market conditions and Api Multi-asset's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Api Multi-asset is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Api Multi-asset's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Api Mutual Fund

Api Multi-asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Api Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Api with respect to the benefits of owning Api Multi-asset security.
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