Apollo Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

APLO Stock  USD 40.00  0.50  1.27%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Apollo Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.47. Apollo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Apollo Bancorp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Apollo Bancorp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Apollo Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 1.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apollo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apollo Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apollo Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jan 13Jan 22Jan 30Feb 7Feb 18Feb 26Mar 6Mar 14Mar 24Apr 23436384042
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Apollo Bancorp Apollo Bancorp forecast
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Apollo Bancorp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Apollo Bancorp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apollo Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.43 and 43.86, respectively. We have considered Apollo Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.00
42.15
Expected Value
43.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apollo Bancorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apollo Bancorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7331
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1388
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0298
SAESum of the absolute errors69.4666
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Apollo Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Apollo Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.2940.0041.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.2331.9444.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.5839.9340.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Apollo Bancorp

For every potential investor in Apollo, whether a beginner or expert, Apollo Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apollo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apollo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apollo Bancorp's price trends.

Apollo Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apollo Bancorp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apollo Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apollo Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Apollo Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Apollo Bancorp's current price.

Apollo Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apollo Bancorp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apollo Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apollo Bancorp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Apollo Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apollo Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apollo Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apollo Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apollo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Apollo Bancorp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Apollo Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Apollo Bancorp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Apollo Pink Sheet

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Moving against Apollo Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Apollo Bancorp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Apollo Bancorp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Apollo Bancorp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Apollo Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of Apollo Bancorp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Apollo Bancorp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Apollo Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Apollo Bancorp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Apollo Pink Sheet

Apollo Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Bancorp security.
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