Apogee Enterprises Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| APOG Stock | USD 39.31 0.33 0.83% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Apogee Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 37.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.31. Apogee Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Apogee Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Apogee Enterprises' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4367 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1733 | Wall Street Target Price 43.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.01 |
Using Apogee Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apogee Enterprises from the perspective of Apogee Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Apogee Enterprises using Apogee Enterprises' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Apogee using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Apogee Enterprises' stock price.
Apogee Enterprises Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Apogee Enterprises' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Apogee. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Apogee Enterprises stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 40.2655 | Short Percent 0.0296 | Short Ratio 1.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 508.8 K | 50 Day MA 36.6094 |
Apogee Enterprises Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Apogee Enterprises' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Apogee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Apogee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Apogee Enterprises. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Apogee Enterprises Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Apogee Enterprises' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Apogee Enterprises stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Apogee Enterprises' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Apogee Enterprises stock will not fluctuate a lot when Apogee Enterprises' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Apogee Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 37.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.31. Apogee Enterprises after-hype prediction price | USD 39.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apogee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Apogee contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Apogee Enterprises will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Apogee Enterprises trading at USD 39.31, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Apogee Enterprises' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Apogee Enterprises options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Apogee Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Apogee Enterprises' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Apogee Enterprises' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Apogee Enterprises stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Apogee Enterprises' open interest, investors have to compare it to Apogee Enterprises' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Apogee Enterprises is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Apogee. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Apogee Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apogee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apogee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apogee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Apogee Enterprises Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Apogee Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 37.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56, mean absolute percentage error of 3.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apogee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apogee Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Apogee Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Apogee Enterprises | Apogee Enterprises Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Apogee Enterprises Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Apogee Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apogee Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.09 and 40.43, respectively. We have considered Apogee Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apogee Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apogee Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4324 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5624 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0428 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 95.3057 |
Predictive Modules for Apogee Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apogee Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apogee Enterprises After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apogee Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apogee Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apogee Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apogee Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apogee Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apogee Enterprises' historical news coverage. Apogee Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.99 and 42.29, respectively. We have considered Apogee Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apogee Enterprises is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apogee Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apogee Enterprises Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apogee Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apogee Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apogee Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.67 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 13 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.31 | 39.64 | 0.00 |
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Apogee Enterprises Hype Timeline
Apogee Enterprises is presently traded for 39.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Apogee is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 160.84%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Apogee Enterprises is about 1068.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.33. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Apogee Enterprises has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of February 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apogee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.Apogee Enterprises Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apogee Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apogee Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Apogee Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apogee Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge | (0.10) | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.18 | 4.74 | (3.02) | 15.87 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | 3.12 | 12 per month | 2.04 | 0.05 | 2.80 | (2.71) | 10.36 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.36) | 11 per month | 2.35 | 0.12 | 6.18 | (4.72) | 14.57 | |
| SWIM | Latham Group | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.41 | (4.80) | 12.43 | |
| ASPN | Aspen Aerogels | 0.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.80 | (6.12) | 52.64 | |
| CRESY | Cresud SACIF y | (0.44) | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.13 | 4.93 | (3.64) | 30.85 | |
| BXC | BlueLinx Holdings | 0.02 | 2 per month | 2.33 | 0.02 | 7.49 | (3.91) | 13.08 | |
| BWMN | Bowman Consulting Group | (0.35) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.29 | (5.57) | 26.93 | |
| NAT | Nordic American Tankers | (0.07) | 10 per month | 1.32 | 0.1 | 3.18 | (2.31) | 9.72 | |
| SERV | Serve Robotics Common | 0.23 | 10 per month | 5.34 | (0.01) | 10.62 | (9.56) | 28.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Apogee Enterprises
For every potential investor in Apogee, whether a beginner or expert, Apogee Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apogee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apogee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apogee Enterprises' price trends.Apogee Enterprises Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apogee Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apogee Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apogee Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Apogee Enterprises Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apogee Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apogee Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apogee Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apogee Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) |
Apogee Enterprises Risk Indicators
The analysis of Apogee Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apogee Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apogee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Apogee Enterprises
The number of cover stories for Apogee Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Apogee Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apogee Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apogee Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Apogee Enterprises Short Properties
Apogee Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Apogee Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apogee Enterprises often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apogee Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apogee Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apogee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Apogee Stock please use our How to Invest in Apogee Enterprises guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apogee Enterprises. If investors know Apogee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apogee Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 1.04 | Earnings Share 1.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
The market value of Apogee Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apogee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apogee Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apogee Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apogee Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apogee Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apogee Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apogee Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apogee Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.