Apple Rush Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

APRU Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0002  100.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apple Rush on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000052 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Apple Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Apple Rush's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Apple Rush's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple Rush, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Apple Rush hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apple Rush from the perspective of Apple Rush response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apple Rush on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000052 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Apple Rush after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.87E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apple Rush to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Rush Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Apple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Apple Rush simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Apple Rush are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Apple Rush prices get older.

Apple Rush Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apple Rush on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000052, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apple Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apple Rush's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apple Rush Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Apple Rush Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Apple Rush's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apple Rush's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered Apple Rush's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
26.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apple Rush pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apple Rush pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.9873
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1667
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0031
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Apple Rush forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Apple Rush observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Apple Rush

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apple Rush. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000326.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000326.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00030.00030.0003
Details

Apple Rush After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Apple Rush at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apple Rush or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Apple Rush, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Apple Rush Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Apple Rush's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apple Rush's historical news coverage. Apple Rush's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 26.51, respectively. We have considered Apple Rush's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0004
0.0003
After-hype Price
26.51
Upside
Apple Rush is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple Rush is based on 3 months time horizon.

Apple Rush Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apple Rush is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apple Rush backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apple Rush, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.51 
26.30
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0004
0.0003
28.17 
0.00  
Notes

Apple Rush Hype Timeline

Apple Rush is presently traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Apple is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.87E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -28.17%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 2.51%. The volatility of related hype on Apple Rush is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.3. Apple Rush had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1500 split on the 14th of September 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apple Rush to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Rush Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Apple Rush's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apple Rush's future price movements. Getting to know how Apple Rush's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apple Rush may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RVBRMarkray Corp 0.00 0 per month 12.13  0.14  39.30 (24.91) 111.00 
PLVFFPlant Veda Foods 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TBEVHigh Performance Beverages 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IFBCBlast Applications 0.00 0 per month 6.42  0.03  11.11 (11.76) 42.65 
ASPUAspen Group 0.00 0 per month 9.73  0.13  21.43 (18.75) 82.11 
DRNKNOHO Inc 0.00 0 per month 21.14  0.14  100.00 (50.00) 250.00 
CYANCyanotech 0.00 0 per month 10.98  0.1  30.00 (27.66) 99.70 
RSAURooshine 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.00  0.00  7.14 
YWGRFYowie Group Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HRSRHorrison Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Apple Rush

For every potential investor in Apple, whether a beginner or expert, Apple Rush's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apple Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apple. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apple Rush's price trends.

Apple Rush Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apple Rush pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apple Rush could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apple Rush by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apple Rush Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apple Rush pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apple Rush shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apple Rush pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Apple Rush entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apple Rush Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apple Rush's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apple Rush's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apple pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Apple Rush

The number of cover stories for Apple Rush depends on current market conditions and Apple Rush's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apple Rush is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apple Rush's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Apple Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Apple Rush's price analysis, check to measure Apple Rush's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apple Rush is operating at the current time. Most of Apple Rush's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apple Rush's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apple Rush's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apple Rush to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.