Alaska Power Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

APTL Stock  USD 58.52  1.48  2.47%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alaska Power Telephone on the next trading day is expected to be 58.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.06. Alaska Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Alaska Power's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alaska Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alaska Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alaska Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alaska Power Telephone, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Alaska Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alaska Power Telephone from the perspective of Alaska Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alaska Power Telephone on the next trading day is expected to be 58.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.06.

Alaska Power after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 58.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alaska Power to cross-verify your projections.

Alaska Power Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alaska price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alaska using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alaska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Alaska Power is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Alaska Power Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alaska Power Telephone on the next trading day is expected to be 58.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alaska Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alaska Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alaska Power Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alaska PowerAlaska Power Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alaska Power Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alaska Power's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alaska Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.82 and 60.22, respectively. We have considered Alaska Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
58.52
58.52
Expected Value
60.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alaska Power pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alaska Power pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6737
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0419
MADMean absolute deviation0.4757
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0081
SAESum of the absolute errors28.065
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Alaska Power Telephone price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Alaska Power. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Alaska Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alaska Power Telephone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alaska Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.8258.5260.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.0558.7560.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
55.4158.9162.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alaska Power

For every potential investor in Alaska, whether a beginner or expert, Alaska Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alaska Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alaska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alaska Power's price trends.

Alaska Power Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alaska Power pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alaska Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alaska Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alaska Power Telephone Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alaska Power's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alaska Power's current price.

Alaska Power Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alaska Power pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alaska Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alaska Power pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alaska Power Telephone entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alaska Power Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alaska Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alaska Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alaska pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Alaska Pink Sheet

Alaska Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alaska Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alaska with respect to the benefits of owning Alaska Power security.