DMD Digital Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| APTOF Stock | USD 1.67 0.01 0.60% |
DMD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of DMD Digital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the rsi of DMD Digital's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.10) | EPS Estimate Current Year (9.20) | EPS Estimate Next Year (5.65) | Wall Street Target Price 12.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.95) |
Using DMD Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DMD Digital Health from the perspective of DMD Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DMD Digital Health on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.48. DMD Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 1.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DMD Digital to cross-verify your projections. DMD Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DMD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DMD using various technical indicators. When you analyze DMD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DMD Digital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DMD Digital Health on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DMD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DMD Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DMD Digital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DMD Digital | DMD Digital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
DMD Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DMD Digital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DMD Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 3.53, respectively. We have considered DMD Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DMD Digital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DMD Digital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0047 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.4753 |
Predictive Modules for DMD Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DMD Digital Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DMD Digital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DMD Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DMD Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DMD Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DMD Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DMD Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DMD Digital's historical news coverage. DMD Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 4.11, respectively. We have considered DMD Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DMD Digital is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DMD Digital Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
DMD Digital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DMD Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DMD Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DMD Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.67 | 1.68 | 0.60 |
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DMD Digital Hype Timeline
DMD Digital Health is presently traded for 1.67. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. DMD is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on DMD Digital is about 1291.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.66. Net Loss for the year was (25.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DMD Digital to cross-verify your projections.DMD Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DMD Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DMD Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how DMD Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DMD Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFRG | Bullfrog AI Holdings | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 11.76 | (9.09) | 27.69 | |
| TNON | Tenon Medical | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.38 | (8.53) | 32.51 | |
| SNSE | Sensei Biotherapeutics | (0.75) | 8 per month | 5.59 | 0.01 | 17.33 | (10.69) | 36.61 | |
| EVGN | Evogene | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.20 | (7.02) | 24.86 | |
| TRAW | Traws Pharma | (0.79) | 9 per month | 8.91 | 0.04 | 17.70 | (12.90) | 58.96 | |
| IMNN | Imunon Inc | 0.34 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.74 | (5.45) | 21.83 | |
| BOLT | Bolt Biotherapeutics | (0.15) | 7 per month | 3.85 | 0.01 | 8.22 | (6.86) | 18.32 | |
| AEON | AEON Biopharma | 0.07 | 8 per month | 5.25 | 0.03 | 10.34 | (8.65) | 33.74 | |
| XAIR | Beyond Air | (0.20) | 7 per month | 6.15 | 0.01 | 14.46 | (10.16) | 163.02 | |
| CING | Cingulate | (0.01) | 5 per month | 4.59 | 0.16 | 8.45 | (6.75) | 24.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for DMD Digital
For every potential investor in DMD, whether a beginner or expert, DMD Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DMD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DMD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DMD Digital's price trends.DMD Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DMD Digital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DMD Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DMD Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DMD Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DMD Digital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DMD Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DMD Digital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DMD Digital Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DMD Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of DMD Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DMD Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dmd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DMD Digital
The number of cover stories for DMD Digital depends on current market conditions and DMD Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DMD Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DMD Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DMD Digital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Can Health Care Technology industry sustain growth momentum? Does DMD have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DMD Digital. If investors know DMD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating DMD Digital demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share 0.69 | Return On Assets (1.41) |
Investors evaluate DMD Digital Health using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating DMD Digital's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause DMD Digital's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that DMD Digital's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether DMD Digital represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, DMD Digital's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.