APT Systems Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

APTY Stock  USD 0.0003  0.0001  25.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APT Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000042 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. APT Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of APT Systems' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of APT Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with APT Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using APT Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of APT Systems from the perspective of APT Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APT Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000042 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

APT Systems after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.21E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of APT Systems to cross-verify your projections.

APT Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine APT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for APT using various technical indicators. When you analyze APT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for APT Systems is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

APT Systems Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APT Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000042, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict APT Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that APT Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

APT Systems Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest APT SystemsAPT Systems Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

APT Systems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting APT Systems' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. APT Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000003 and 16.96, respectively. We have considered APT Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0003
0.000003
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
16.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of APT Systems pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent APT Systems pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria94.9691
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1172
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0025
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of APT Systems price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of APT Systems. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for APT Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APT Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of APT Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000317.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000317.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00030.00030.0003
Details

APT Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of APT Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in APT Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of APT Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

APT Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting APT Systems' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on APT Systems' historical news coverage. APT Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 17.10, respectively. We have considered APT Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0003
0.0003
After-hype Price
17.10
Upside
APT Systems is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of APT Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

APT Systems Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as APT Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading APT Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with APT Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.91 
16.96
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0003
0.0003
6.93 
0.00  
Notes

APT Systems Hype Timeline

APT Systems is presently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. APT is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.21E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 6.93%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.91%. The volatility of related hype on APT Systems is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of APT Systems to cross-verify your projections.

APT Systems Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to APT Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict APT Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how APT Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how APT Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ENETFEthernity Networks 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  17,597 
NAHDNew Asia Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  103.20 
HSTAHestia Insight 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.79 (13.75) 67.18 
EPAZEpazz Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 21.35 (21.24) 62.62 
WANSFWANdisco plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  60.00 (42.31) 456.59 
TIOGTingo Group 0.00 0 per month 36.47  0.26  200.00 (66.67) 613.46 
REGRFGraph Blockchain 0.00 0 per month 20.33  0.17  128.57 (53.12) 201.04 
MYSLMy Screen Mobile 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TGGLFToggle3Dai 0.00 0 per month 9.90  0.12  22.95 (18.67) 62.09 
TMIXTarsin Mobile 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for APT Systems

For every potential investor in APT, whether a beginner or expert, APT Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. APT Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in APT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying APT Systems' price trends.

APT Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with APT Systems pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of APT Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing APT Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

APT Systems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how APT Systems pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading APT Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying APT Systems pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify APT Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

APT Systems Risk Indicators

The analysis of APT Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in APT Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for APT Systems

The number of cover stories for APT Systems depends on current market conditions and APT Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that APT Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about APT Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for APT Pink Sheet Analysis

When running APT Systems' price analysis, check to measure APT Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy APT Systems is operating at the current time. Most of APT Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of APT Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move APT Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of APT Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.