Applied Visual Pink Sheet Forward View

APVS Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Applied Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Applied Visual's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Applied Visual's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Applied Visual and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Applied Visual's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Applied Visual Sciences, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Applied Visual hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied Visual Sciences from the perspective of Applied Visual response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied Visual Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Applied Visual after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Visual to cross-verify your projections.

Applied Visual Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Applied Visual is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Applied Visual Sciences value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Applied Visual Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied Visual Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Applied Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Applied Visual's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Applied Visual Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Applied Visual  Applied Visual Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Applied Visual Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Applied Visual's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Applied Visual's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Applied Visual's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Applied Visual pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Applied Visual pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Applied Visual Sciences. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Applied Visual. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Applied Visual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Visual Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Applied Visual's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Applied Visual After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Applied Visual at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applied Visual or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Applied Visual, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Applied Visual Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Applied Visual's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applied Visual's historical news coverage. Applied Visual's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Applied Visual's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Applied Visual is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applied Visual Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.

Applied Visual Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applied Visual is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied Visual backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied Visual, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Applied Visual Hype Timeline

Applied Visual Sciences is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Applied is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Applied Visual is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Applied Visual Sciences last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 1995. The entity had 1:5 split on the 5th of July 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Visual to cross-verify your projections.

Applied Visual Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Applied Visual's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applied Visual's future price movements. Getting to know how Applied Visual's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applied Visual may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ICRDInternational Card Establishment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  33.33 
PDPRMarathon Group Corp 0.00 6 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LYLPLoyaltyPoint 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AVRIAverox Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DVARDovarri 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  100.00 
WEJOFWejo Group Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VCSTViewcastCom 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IPLYInterplay Entertainment Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZPASZoompass Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.23  300.00 (75.00) 634.62 
YPPNYappn Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Applied Visual

For every potential investor in Applied, whether a beginner or expert, Applied Visual's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Applied Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Applied. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Applied Visual's price trends.

Applied Visual Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Applied Visual pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Applied Visual could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied Visual by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Applied Visual Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied Visual pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied Visual shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied Visual pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied Visual Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Applied Visual

The number of cover stories for Applied Visual depends on current market conditions and Applied Visual's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied Visual is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied Visual's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Applied Visual Short Properties

Applied Visual's future price predictability will typically decrease when Applied Visual's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applied Visual Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applied Visual's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Visual's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding104.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34 K

Additional Tools for Applied Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Applied Visual's price analysis, check to measure Applied Visual's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Visual is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Visual's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Visual's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Visual's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Visual to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.