APx Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

APXI Stock  USD 12.74  0.86  7.24%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APx Acquisition I on the next trading day is expected to be 12.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.93. APx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of APx Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for APx Acquisition is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

APx Acquisition Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of APx Acquisition I on the next trading day is expected to be 12.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict APx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that APx Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

APx Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest APx AcquisitionAPx Acquisition Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

APx Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting APx Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. APx Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.63 and 12.99, respectively. We have considered APx Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.74
12.31
Expected Value
12.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of APx Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent APx Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.7975
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0207
MADMean absolute deviation0.0497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0041
SAESum of the absolute errors2.93
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of APx Acquisition I price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of APx Acquisition. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for APx Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APx Acquisition I. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of APx Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2111.8912.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9011.5812.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.4111.7612.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for APx Acquisition

For every potential investor in APx, whether a beginner or expert, APx Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. APx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in APx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying APx Acquisition's price trends.

APx Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with APx Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of APx Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing APx Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

APx Acquisition I Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of APx Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of APx Acquisition's current price.

APx Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how APx Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading APx Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying APx Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify APx Acquisition I entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

APx Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of APx Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in APx Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether APx Acquisition I offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of APx Acquisition's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Apx Acquisition I Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Apx Acquisition I Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of APx Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of APx Acquisition. If investors know APx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about APx Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.105
Earnings Share
0.11
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of APx Acquisition I is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of APx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of APx Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is APx Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because APx Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect APx Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between APx Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if APx Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, APx Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.