AquaBounty Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| AQB Stock | USD 0.94 -0.01 -1.05% |
AquaBounty Technologies's Simple Regression forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The fit is assessed against recent observations, so the output reflects the latest available data. The Simple Regression model projects AquaBounty Technologies at 0.96 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The Simple Regression output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Regression model forecasts AquaBounty Technologies at 0.96 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 1.86 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of AquaBounty Technologies' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AquaBounty Technologies | AquaBounty Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
AquaBounty Technologies' next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. Downside is estimated near 0.01 and upside near 5.04. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Regression model's error metrics for AquaBounty Technologies stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5802 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0301 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0317 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.8635 |
Other Forecasting Options for AquaBounty Technologies
Analyzing AquaBounty Technologies' price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in AquaBounty Technologies' chart signal overbought or oversold conditions. The rate of change in AquaBounty Technologies' trading volume often precedes price movements in AquaBounty.AquaBounty Technologies Related Equities
The stocks listed below are peers of AquaBounty Technologies within the Health Care space and offer context for ranking and strength. Looking at AquaBounty Technologies' pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to AquaBounty Technologies often signals structural advantages or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AquaBounty Technologies Market Strength Events
For investors tracking AquaBounty Technologies, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in AquaBounty Technologies. These metrics are particularly useful when AquaBounty Technologies stock shows divergence from broader market trends.
AquaBounty Technologies Risk Indicators
Analyzing AquaBounty Technologies' basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for aquabounty stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for AquaBounty Technologies. Semi-deviation focuses exclusively on returns below the mean, making it a more conservative risk gauge for AquaBounty Technologies than full standard deviation.
| Mean Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Variance | 20.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
AquaBounty Technologies Short Properties
Short-interest signals around AquaBounty Technologies reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.87 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 501,295 |