AQUARON ACQUISITION Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AQUNU Stock  USD 10.63  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AQUARON ACQUISITION P on the next trading day is expected to be 10.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.57. AQUARON Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for AQUARON ACQUISITION is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of AQUARON ACQUISITION P value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

AQUARON ACQUISITION Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AQUARON ACQUISITION P on the next trading day is expected to be 10.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AQUARON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AQUARON ACQUISITION's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AQUARON ACQUISITION Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AQUARON ACQUISITION stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AQUARON ACQUISITION stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2727
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1078
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors6.5729
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of AQUARON ACQUISITION P. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict AQUARON ACQUISITION. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for AQUARON ACQUISITION

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AQUARON ACQUISITION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6310.6310.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.749.7411.69
Details

AQUARON ACQUISITION Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AQUARON ACQUISITION stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AQUARON ACQUISITION could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AQUARON ACQUISITION by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AQUARON ACQUISITION Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AQUARON ACQUISITION stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AQUARON ACQUISITION shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AQUARON ACQUISITION stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AQUARON ACQUISITION P entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AQUARON ACQUISITION Risk Indicators

The analysis of AQUARON ACQUISITION's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AQUARON ACQUISITION's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aquaron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for AQUARON Stock Analysis

When running AQUARON ACQUISITION's price analysis, check to measure AQUARON ACQUISITION's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AQUARON ACQUISITION is operating at the current time. Most of AQUARON ACQUISITION's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AQUARON ACQUISITION's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AQUARON ACQUISITION's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AQUARON ACQUISITION to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.