Arax Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ARAT Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Arax Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Arax Holdings' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Arax Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arax Holdings Corp from the perspective of Arax Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Arax Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Arax Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.018 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Arax |
Arax Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Arax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Arax Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Arax Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arax Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arax Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Arax Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Arax Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Arax Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Arax Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Arax Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arax Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arax Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Arax Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arax Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arax Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arax Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arax Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Arax Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Arax Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arax Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arax Holdings' historical news coverage. Arax Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Arax Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Arax Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arax Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Arax Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arax Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arax Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arax Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
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Arax Holdings Hype Timeline
Arax Holdings Corp is presently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Arax is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Arax Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Arax Holdings Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Arax Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Arax Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arax Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arax Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Arax Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arax Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLPL | Plandai Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GGAAF | Genesis Growth Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TGGI | Trans Global Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| BDCM | Broadcast Marketing Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 3.90 | (6.25) | 163.93 | |
| WNFT | Goff Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.86 | 0.0006 | 17.07 | (12.50) | 55.32 | |
| ARVY | Alliance Recovery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33 | |
| FWFW | Flywheel Advanced Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.17 | (5.88) | 114.60 | |
| ADHI | Arsenal Digital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.60 | 0.17 | 85.71 | (25.00) | 372.12 | |
| BLQC | BlockQuarry Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 21.95 | (20.00) | 56.06 | |
| SVAD | Silverton Adventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Arax Holdings
For every potential investor in Arax, whether a beginner or expert, Arax Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arax Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arax Holdings' price trends.Arax Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arax Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arax Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arax Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arax Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arax Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arax Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arax Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Arax Holdings Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Arax Holdings
The number of cover stories for Arax Holdings depends on current market conditions and Arax Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arax Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arax Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Arax Holdings Short Properties
Arax Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Arax Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arax Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arax Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arax Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 2.3 M |
Additional Tools for Arax Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Arax Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Arax Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arax Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Arax Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arax Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arax Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arax Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.