Accelerate Arbitrage Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ARB Etf | CAD 28.24 0.04 0.14% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accelerate Arbitrage on the next trading day is expected to be 28.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.57. Accelerate Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Accelerate Arbitrage's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Accelerate Arbitrage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Accelerate Arbitrage from the perspective of Accelerate Arbitrage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accelerate Arbitrage on the next trading day is expected to be 28.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.57. Accelerate Arbitrage after-hype prediction price | CAD 28.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Accelerate |
Accelerate Arbitrage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Accelerate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Accelerate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Accelerate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Accelerate Arbitrage Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accelerate Arbitrage on the next trading day is expected to be 28.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Accelerate Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Accelerate Arbitrage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Accelerate Arbitrage Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Accelerate Arbitrage | Accelerate Arbitrage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Accelerate Arbitrage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Accelerate Arbitrage's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Accelerate Arbitrage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.68 and 28.83, respectively. We have considered Accelerate Arbitrage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Accelerate Arbitrage etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Accelerate Arbitrage etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0116 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1113 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.004 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.5658 |
Predictive Modules for Accelerate Arbitrage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accelerate Arbitrage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Accelerate Arbitrage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Accelerate Arbitrage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Accelerate Arbitrage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Accelerate Arbitrage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Accelerate Arbitrage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Accelerate Arbitrage's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Accelerate Arbitrage's historical news coverage. Accelerate Arbitrage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.68 and 28.82, respectively. We have considered Accelerate Arbitrage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Accelerate Arbitrage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Accelerate Arbitrage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Accelerate Arbitrage Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Accelerate Arbitrage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Accelerate Arbitrage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Accelerate Arbitrage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.57 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.24 | 28.25 | 0.04 |
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Accelerate Arbitrage Hype Timeline
Accelerate Arbitrage is presently traded for 28.24on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Accelerate is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Accelerate Arbitrage is about 2280.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.24. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accelerate Arbitrage to cross-verify your projections.Accelerate Arbitrage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Accelerate Arbitrage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Accelerate Arbitrage's future price movements. Getting to know how Accelerate Arbitrage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Accelerate Arbitrage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JAPN | CI WisdomTree Japan | 0.08 | 4 per month | 0.55 | 0.14 | 1.53 | (1.45) | 4.99 | |
| PAYF | Purpose Enhanced Premium | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.35 | (0.24) | 0.37 | (0.59) | 1.61 | |
| XMTM | iShares MSCI USA | (0.36) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.59 | (2.05) | 4.78 | |
| LEAD | Evolve Future Leadership | 0.28 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.44 | (2.01) | 5.02 | |
| PBI | Purpose Best Ideas | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.76 | (0.07) | 1.78 | (1.15) | 3.81 | |
| GIQU | Guardian i3 Quality | (0.40) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.40 | (1.82) | 4.87 | |
| SPXI | BetaPro SP 500 | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.26 | (1.15) | 3.15 | |
| PINV | Purpose Global Innovators | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.70 | (3.68) | 8.60 | |
| RIFI | Russell Investments Fixed | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.28 | (0.28) | 2.23 | |
| DRMD | Desjardins RI Developed | 0.16 | 5 per month | 0.64 | (0.02) | 1.14 | (1.09) | 3.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Accelerate Arbitrage
For every potential investor in Accelerate, whether a beginner or expert, Accelerate Arbitrage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Accelerate Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Accelerate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Accelerate Arbitrage's price trends.Accelerate Arbitrage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Accelerate Arbitrage etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Accelerate Arbitrage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Accelerate Arbitrage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Accelerate Arbitrage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Accelerate Arbitrage etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Accelerate Arbitrage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Accelerate Arbitrage etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Accelerate Arbitrage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accelerate Arbitrage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Accelerate Arbitrage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Accelerate Arbitrage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting accelerate etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4199 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5499 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5631 | |||
| Variance | 0.317 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3974 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3024 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Accelerate Arbitrage
The number of cover stories for Accelerate Arbitrage depends on current market conditions and Accelerate Arbitrage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Accelerate Arbitrage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Accelerate Arbitrage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Accelerate Etf
Accelerate Arbitrage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Accelerate Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Accelerate with respect to the benefits of owning Accelerate Arbitrage security.