Tradr 2X Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ARCX Etf | 45.60 4.27 8.56% |
Tradr Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Tradr 2X's share price is approaching 43. This suggests that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tradr 2X, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tradr 2X hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tradr 2X Long from the perspective of Tradr 2X response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tradr 2X using Tradr 2X's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tradr using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tradr 2X's stock price.
Tradr 2X Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Tradr 2X's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tradr 2X Long stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tradr 2X's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tradr 2X stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tradr 2X's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tradr 2X Long on the next trading day is expected to be 45.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 202.13. Tradr 2X after-hype prediction price | USD 43.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tradr 2X to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tradr contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tradr 2X Long will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Tradr 2X trading at USD 45.6, that is roughly USD 0.0205 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tradr 2X's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tradr 2X Long options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Tradr Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tradr 2X's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tradr 2X's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tradr 2X stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tradr 2X's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tradr 2X's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tradr 2X is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tradr. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tradr 2X Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tradr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tradr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tradr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tradr 2X Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tradr 2X Long on the next trading day is expected to be 45.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37, mean absolute percentage error of 19.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 202.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tradr Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tradr 2X's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tradr 2X Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tradr 2X | Tradr 2X Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tradr 2X Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tradr 2X's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tradr 2X's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.04 and 54.16, respectively. We have considered Tradr 2X's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tradr 2X etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tradr 2X etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2488 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.7408 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3688 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0716 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 202.13 |
Predictive Modules for Tradr 2X
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tradr 2X Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tradr 2X's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tradr 2X After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tradr 2X at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tradr 2X or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Tradr 2X, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tradr 2X Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tradr 2X's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tradr 2X's historical news coverage. Tradr 2X's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.39 and 52.39, respectively. We have considered Tradr 2X's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tradr 2X is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tradr 2X Long is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tradr 2X Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Tradr 2X is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tradr 2X backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tradr 2X, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 8.56 | 1.62 | 0.69 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.60 | 43.89 | 3.75 |
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Tradr 2X Hype Timeline
Tradr 2X Long is presently traded for 45.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.62, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.69. Tradr is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 43.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.75%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.74%. The volatility of related hype on Tradr 2X is about 923.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.29. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Tradr 2X Long last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tradr 2X to cross-verify your projections.Tradr 2X Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tradr 2X's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tradr 2X's future price movements. Getting to know how Tradr 2X's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tradr 2X may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTI | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.86 | 10 per month | 0.77 | (0.04) | 1.16 | (1.21) | 3.47 | |
| SPY | SPDR SP 500 | 0.86 | 7 per month | 0.77 | (0.04) | 1.15 | (1.19) | 3.60 | |
| IVV | iShares Core SP | 2.48 | 4 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.13 | (1.15) | 3.58 | |
| BND | Vanguard Total Bond | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.18 | (0.43) | 0.28 | (0.31) | 0.78 | |
| VTV | Vanguard Value Index | 0.86 | 3 per month | 0.45 | 0.02 | 1.37 | (1.00) | 2.80 | |
| VUG | Vanguard Growth Index | 0.86 | 12 per month | 1.10 | (0.08) | 1.38 | (1.75) | 4.89 | |
| VO | Vanguard Mid Cap Index | 0.86 | 14 per month | 0.78 | (0.05) | 1.36 | (1.48) | 3.47 | |
| VEA | Vanguard FTSE Developed | 0.86 | 12 per month | 0.59 | 0.08 | 1.17 | (1.29) | 2.82 | |
| VB | Vanguard Small Cap Index | 0.86 | 3 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 1.68 | (1.38) | 3.82 | |
| VWO | Vanguard FTSE Emerging | 0.86 | 3 per month | 0.54 | 0 | 1.07 | (1.02) | 3.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tradr 2X
For every potential investor in Tradr, whether a beginner or expert, Tradr 2X's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tradr Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tradr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tradr 2X's price trends.Tradr 2X Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tradr 2X etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tradr 2X could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tradr 2X by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tradr 2X Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tradr 2X etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tradr 2X shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tradr 2X etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Tradr 2X Long entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tradr 2X Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tradr 2X's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tradr 2X's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tradr etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.42 | |||
| Variance | 70.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tradr 2X
The number of cover stories for Tradr 2X depends on current market conditions and Tradr 2X's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tradr 2X is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tradr 2X's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Tradr Etf
Tradr 2X financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tradr Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tradr with respect to the benefits of owning Tradr 2X security.