ARK Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ARKC Etf | 132.15 1.45 1.09% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ARK on the next trading day is expected to be 119.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.38. ARK Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ARK stock prices and determine the direction of ARK's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ARK's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of ARK's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ARK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ARK from the perspective of ARK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ARK on the next trading day is expected to be 119.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.38. ARK after-hype prediction price | $ 132.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. ARK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ARK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ARK using various technical indicators. When you analyze ARK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ARK Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ARK on the next trading day is expected to be 119.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.66, mean absolute percentage error of 66.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 406.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ARK Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ARK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ARK Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ARK | ARK Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ARK etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ARK etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.3038 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.662 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0433 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 406.3838 |
Predictive Modules for ARK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ARK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ARK etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ARK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ARK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ARK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ARK etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ARK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ARK etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ARK entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0109 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 132.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 132.63 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.45) |
ARK Risk Indicators
The analysis of ARK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ARK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ark etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.46 | |||
| Variance | 11.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
The market value of ARK is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ARK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ARK's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ARK's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ARK's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ARK's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ARK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ARK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ARK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.