Artea SA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ARTE Stock | EUR 9.05 0.15 1.63% |
Artea Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Artea SA stock prices and determine the direction of Artea SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Artea SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Artea SA's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.552 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.50) |
Using Artea SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Artea SA from the perspective of Artea SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Artea SA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.30. Artea SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 9.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Artea |
Artea SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Artea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Artea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Artea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Artea SA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Artea SA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Artea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Artea SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Artea SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Artea SA | Artea SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Artea SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Artea SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Artea SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.98 and 10.12, respectively. We have considered Artea SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Artea SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Artea SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.5147 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0033 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.055 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.3 |
Predictive Modules for Artea SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Artea SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Artea SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Artea SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Artea SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Artea SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Artea SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Artea SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Artea SA's historical news coverage. Artea SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.98 and 10.12, respectively. We have considered Artea SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Artea SA is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Artea SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Artea SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Artea SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Artea SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Artea SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.05 | 9.05 | 0.00 |
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Artea SA Hype Timeline
Artea SA is presently traded for 9.05on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Artea is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Artea SA is about 1646.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.05. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Artea SA recorded a loss per share of 3.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of July 2023. The firm had 1:20 split on the 20th of November 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Artea SA to cross-verify your projections.Artea SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Artea SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Artea SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Artea SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Artea SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TAYN | Societe de Tayninh | 0.18 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 8.11 | 0.00 | 39.20 | |
| ACAN | Acanthe Dveloppement | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.55 | (8.00) | 16.70 | |
| COUR | Courtois SA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (0.85) | 8.44 | |
| EFI | Eurasia Fonciere Investissements | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.05 | |
| FIPP | FIPP SA | 0.01 | 1 per month | 4.40 | 0.02 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 33.57 | |
| ALSAS | Stradim Espace Finances | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.39 | 0.02 | 15.47 | (16.19) | 38.42 | |
| PAR | Groupe Partouche SA | (0.20) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.04 | (4.88) | 18.87 | |
| ALIMO | Groupimo SA | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 10.00 | (13.04) | 83.33 | |
| ALREA | Realites | 0.64 | 1 per month | 10.70 | 0.08 | 32.00 | (18.92) | 95.04 | |
| CFI | CFI Compagnie Foncire Internationale | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.58 | 0.03 | 16.55 | (14.12) | 43.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Artea SA
For every potential investor in Artea, whether a beginner or expert, Artea SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Artea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Artea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Artea SA's price trends.Artea SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Artea SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Artea SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Artea SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Artea SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Artea SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Artea SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Artea SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Artea SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Artea SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Artea SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Artea SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting artea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7508 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8984 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8071 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Artea SA
The number of cover stories for Artea SA depends on current market conditions and Artea SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Artea SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Artea SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Artea SA Short Properties
Artea SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Artea SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Artea SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Artea SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Artea SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Artea Stock
Artea SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Artea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Artea with respect to the benefits of owning Artea SA security.