American Nortel Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

American Nortel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for American Nortel is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of American Nortel Communications value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

American Nortel Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Nortel Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000015, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14.

American Nortel Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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American Nortel Price Prediction

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American Nortel Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Nortel pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Nortel pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of American Nortel Communications. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict American Nortel. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for American Nortel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Nortel Comm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.04 14.45 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.03 14.44 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.04 0.04 0.05 Details

American Nortel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

American Nortel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

American Nortel Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

American Nortel Hype Timeline

American Nortel Comm is presently traded for 0.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. American is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.98%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.69%. The volatility of related hype on American Nortel is about 44191.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.31. American Nortel Comm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Nortel to cross-verify your projections.

American Nortel Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for American Nortel

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Nortel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Nortel's price trends.

American Nortel Related Equities

Risk & Return

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