ANTA Sports Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

AS7 Stock  EUR 8.76  0.00  0.00%   
ANTA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ANTA Sports stock prices and determine the direction of ANTA Sports Products's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ANTA Sports' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of ANTA Sports' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ANTA Sports' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ANTA Sports and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ANTA Sports' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ANTA Sports Products, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ANTA Sports hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ANTA Sports Products from the perspective of ANTA Sports response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ANTA Sports Products on the next trading day is expected to be 8.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.39.

ANTA Sports after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 8.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ANTA Sports to cross-verify your projections.

ANTA Sports Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ANTA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ANTA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ANTA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ANTA Sports price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ANTA Sports Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ANTA Sports Products on the next trading day is expected to be 8.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ANTA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ANTA Sports' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ANTA Sports Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ANTA Sports  ANTA Sports Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

ANTA Sports Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ANTA Sports' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ANTA Sports' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.52 and 9.80, respectively. We have considered ANTA Sports' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.76
8.66
Expected Value
9.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ANTA Sports stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ANTA Sports stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1429
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1048
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3935
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ANTA Sports Products historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ANTA Sports

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANTA Sports Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.638.779.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.788.9210.06
Details

ANTA Sports After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ANTA Sports at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ANTA Sports or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ANTA Sports, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ANTA Sports Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ANTA Sports' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ANTA Sports' historical news coverage. ANTA Sports' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.63 and 9.91, respectively. We have considered ANTA Sports' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.76
8.77
After-hype Price
9.91
Upside
ANTA Sports is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ANTA Sports Products is based on 3 months time horizon.

ANTA Sports Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ANTA Sports is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ANTA Sports backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ANTA Sports, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.14
  0.01 
  0.04 
7 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.76
8.77
0.11 
950.00  
Notes

ANTA Sports Hype Timeline

ANTA Sports Products is presently traded for 8.76on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. ANTA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on ANTA Sports is about 256.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.72. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ANTA Sports to cross-verify your projections.

ANTA Sports Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ANTA Sports' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ANTA Sports' future price movements. Getting to know how ANTA Sports' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ANTA Sports may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QN0Hamilton Insurance Group(0.20)3 per month 2.01  0.04  3.64 (4.27) 9.68 
RGPBReinsurance Group of 1.00 8 per month 1.46  0.01  2.50 (2.91) 6.28 
H0OREVO INSURANCE SPA(0.14)5 per month 3.61  0.10  9.31 (9.22) 24.57 
5E1EVS Broadcast Equipment(0.29)2 per month 1.04 (0.06) 1.81 (1.51) 6.80 
ROWTexas Roadhouse(2.40)6 per month 1.38  0.02  3.37 (2.26) 7.38 
J73BROADPEAK SA EO 0.05 1 per month 2.54  0.01  6.49 (5.49) 19.85 
T2K1Transportadora de Gas(1.60)5 per month 2.96 (0.02) 4.84 (5.65) 18.04 
PZXPing An Insurance 0.03 4 per month 1.23  0.12  3.30 (2.39) 8.69 

Other Forecasting Options for ANTA Sports

For every potential investor in ANTA, whether a beginner or expert, ANTA Sports' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ANTA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ANTA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ANTA Sports' price trends.

ANTA Sports Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ANTA Sports stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ANTA Sports could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ANTA Sports by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ANTA Sports Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ANTA Sports stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ANTA Sports shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ANTA Sports stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ANTA Sports Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ANTA Sports Risk Indicators

The analysis of ANTA Sports' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ANTA Sports' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ANTA Sports

The number of cover stories for ANTA Sports depends on current market conditions and ANTA Sports' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ANTA Sports is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ANTA Sports' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

ANTA Sports Short Properties

ANTA Sports' future price predictability will typically decrease when ANTA Sports' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ANTA Sports Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ANTA Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ANTA Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B
Short Term Investments22.9 B

Other Information on Investing in ANTA Stock

ANTA Sports financial ratios help investors to determine whether ANTA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ANTA with respect to the benefits of owning ANTA Sports security.