AT S Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

ASAAF Stock  USD 20.25  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AT S Austria on the next trading day is expected to be 21.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.81. ASAAF Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AT S's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for AT S is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of AT S Austria value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

AT S Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AT S Austria on the next trading day is expected to be 21.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASAAF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AT S's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AT S Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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AT S Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AT S's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AT S's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.29 and 23.08, respectively. We have considered AT S's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.25
21.19
Expected Value
23.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AT S pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AT S pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6736
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3903
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0191
SAESum of the absolute errors23.8075
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of AT S Austria. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict AT S. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for AT S

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AT S Austria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3420.2522.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1317.0422.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.1920.6122.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AT S. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AT S's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AT S's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AT S Austria.

Other Forecasting Options for AT S

For every potential investor in ASAAF, whether a beginner or expert, AT S's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASAAF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASAAF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AT S's price trends.

AT S Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AT S pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AT S could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AT S by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AT S Austria Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AT S's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AT S's current price.

AT S Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AT S pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AT S shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AT S pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify AT S Austria entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AT S Risk Indicators

The analysis of AT S's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AT S's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asaaf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ASAAF Pink Sheet

AT S financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASAAF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASAAF with respect to the benefits of owning AT S security.