ASSA ABLOY Pink Sheet Forward View

ASSA ABLOY Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ASSA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ASSA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ASSA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for ASSA ABLOY is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ASSA ABLOY AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ASSA ABLOY Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ASSA ABLOY AB on the next trading day is expected to be 41.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.78.

ASSA ABLOY Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASSA ABLOY pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASSA ABLOY pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ASSA ABLOY AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ASSA ABLOY. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ASSA ABLOY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASSA ABLOY AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 39.95 41.00 42.05 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 38.69 39.73 45.10 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 36.94 39.34 41.73 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ASSA ABLOY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ASSA ABLOY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ASSA ABLOY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ASSA ABLOY AB.

ASSA ABLOY After-Hype Price Density Analysis

ASSA ABLOY Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

ASSA ABLOY Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

ASSA ABLOY Hype Timeline

ASSA ABLOY AB is presently traded for 41.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ASSA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on ASSA ABLOY is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.00. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ASSA ABLOY was presently reported as 5.07. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.75. ASSA ABLOY AB last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 2nd of June 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASSA ABLOY to cross-verify your projections.

ASSA ABLOY Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for ASSA ABLOY

For every potential investor in ASSA, whether a beginner or expert, ASSA ABLOY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASSA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASSA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASSA ABLOY's price trends.

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ASSA ABLOY Market Strength Events

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