Asahi Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ASBRF Stock  USD 10.00  0.37  3.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asahi Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.25. Asahi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Asahi Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Asahi Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Asahi Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asahi Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.24, mean absolute percentage error of 41.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asahi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asahi Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Asahi Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Asahi Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Asahi Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asahi Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.10 and 48.85, respectively. We have considered Asahi Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.00
10.00
Expected Value
48.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asahi Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asahi Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1511
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5003
MADMean absolute deviation2.2415
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1384
SAESum of the absolute errors132.25
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Asahi Group Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Asahi Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Asahi Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asahi Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5010.0048.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.489.6048.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Asahi Group

For every potential investor in Asahi, whether a beginner or expert, Asahi Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asahi Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asahi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asahi Group's price trends.

Asahi Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asahi Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asahi Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asahi Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Asahi Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Asahi Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Asahi Group's current price.

Asahi Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asahi Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asahi Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asahi Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Asahi Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Asahi Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Asahi Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asahi Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asahi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Asahi Pink Sheet

Asahi Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asahi Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asahi with respect to the benefits of owning Asahi Group security.