Ascom Holding Stock Forward View

Ascom Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ascom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ascom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ascom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Ascom Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ascom Holding AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ascom Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ascom Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 5.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.32.

Ascom Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ascom Holding

Ascom Holding Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Ascom Holding Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ascom Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ascom Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ascom Holding AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ascom Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ascom Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ascom Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 3.94 7.34 10.74 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 1.96 5.36 8.76 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 2.58 4.01 5.43 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.07 0.09 0.10 Details

Ascom Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Ascom Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Ascom Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Ascom Holding Hype Timeline

Ascom Holding AG is presently traded for 5.30on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. Ascom is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 113.33%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 38.49%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Ascom Holding is about 862.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.57. Ascom Holding AG has accumulated 115.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 24.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ascom Holding AG has a current ratio of 1.7, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist Ascom Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ascom Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ascom Holding AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ascom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ascom Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ascom Holding to cross-verify your projections.

Ascom Holding Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Ascom Holding

For every potential investor in Ascom, whether a beginner or expert, Ascom Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ascom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ascom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ascom Holding's price trends.

Ascom Holding Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Ascom Holding Market Strength Events

Ascom Holding Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Ascom Holding

Other Macroaxis Stories

Ascom Holding Short Properties

Additional Tools for Ascom Stock Analysis