Aam/himco Short Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ASDAX Fund  USD 10.13  0.01  0.1%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aamhimco Short Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 10.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35. Aam/himco Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Aam/himco Short's share price is at 56. This suggests that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aam/himco Short, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aam/himco Short's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aamhimco Short Duration, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aam/himco Short hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aamhimco Short Duration from the perspective of Aam/himco Short response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aamhimco Short Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 10.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.

Aam/himco Short after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aam/himco Short to cross-verify your projections.

Aam/himco Short Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aam/himco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aam/himco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aam/himco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Aam/himco Short is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Aam/himco Short Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aamhimco Short Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 10.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000062, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aam/himco Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aam/himco Short's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aam/himco Short Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aam/himco ShortAam/himco Short Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Aam/himco Short Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aam/himco Short's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aam/himco Short's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.06 and 10.20, respectively. We have considered Aam/himco Short's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.13
10.13
Expected Value
10.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aam/himco Short mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aam/himco Short mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.5856
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0058
MAPEMean absolute percentage error6.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.345
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Aamhimco Short Duration price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Aam/himco Short. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Aam/himco Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aamhimco Short Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0610.1310.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.259.3211.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.1110.1310.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aam/himco Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aam/himco Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aam/himco Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aamhimco Short Duration.

Other Forecasting Options for Aam/himco Short

For every potential investor in Aam/himco, whether a beginner or expert, Aam/himco Short's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aam/himco Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aam/himco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aam/himco Short's price trends.

Aam/himco Short Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aam/himco Short mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aam/himco Short could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aam/himco Short by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aamhimco Short Duration Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aam/himco Short's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aam/himco Short's current price.

Aam/himco Short Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aam/himco Short mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aam/himco Short shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aam/himco Short mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Aamhimco Short Duration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aam/himco Short Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aam/himco Short's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aam/himco Short's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aam/himco mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Aam/himco Mutual Fund

Aam/himco Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aam/himco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aam/himco with respect to the benefits of owning Aam/himco Short security.
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