Asante Gold Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ASE Stock | CAD 1.94 0.01 0.52% |
Asante Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Asante Gold's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Asante Gold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Asante Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asante Gold from the perspective of Asante Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asante Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 1.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.29. Asante Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 1.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Asante |
Asante Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Asante price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asante using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asante charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Asante Gold Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Asante Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 1.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asante Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asante Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Asante Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
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Asante Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Asante Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asante Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.51, respectively. We have considered Asante Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asante Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asante Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0558 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0289 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.2933 |
Predictive Modules for Asante Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asante Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asante Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Asante Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Asante Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Asante Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Asante Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Asante Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Asante Gold's historical news coverage. Asante Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 5.53, respectively. We have considered Asante Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Asante Gold is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asante Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Asante Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Asante Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Asante Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Asante Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 3.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.94 | 1.93 | 0.00 |
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Asante Gold Hype Timeline
Asante Gold is presently traded for 1.94on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Asante is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Asante Gold is about 160650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.94. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asante Gold to cross-verify your projections.Asante Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Asante Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Asante Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Asante Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Asante Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IAU | i 80 Gold Corp | (0.10) | 8 per month | 2.51 | 0.27 | 5.03 | (4.55) | 13.82 | |
| RBX | Res Robex | (0.31) | 4 per month | 3.27 | 0.15 | 6.04 | (5.05) | 14.94 | |
| RIO | Rio2 | 0.05 | 10 per month | 2.19 | 0.34 | 6.75 | (3.34) | 15.52 | |
| RML | Rusoro Mining | 0.02 | 4 per month | 2.65 | 0.02 | 10.38 | (4.35) | 24.46 | |
| GTWO | G2 Goldfields | 0.08 | 4 per month | 2.10 | 0.27 | 6.43 | (3.87) | 17.64 | |
| GAU | Galiano Gold | (0.01) | 15 per month | 3.84 | 0.05 | 7.03 | (5.54) | 19.03 | |
| ATX | ATEX Resources | 0.36 | 6 per month | 1.98 | 0.21 | 5.44 | (4.83) | 22.94 | |
| ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | 0.09 | 3 per month | 1.85 | 0.26 | 6.43 | (3.68) | 16.86 | |
| SLI | Standard Lithium | (0.16) | 8 per month | 4.28 | 0.07 | 8.57 | (7.25) | 16.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Asante Gold
For every potential investor in Asante, whether a beginner or expert, Asante Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asante Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asante. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asante Gold's price trends.Asante Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asante Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asante Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asante Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Asante Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asante Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asante Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asante Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asante Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Asante Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Asante Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asante Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asante stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Variance | 12.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Asante Gold
The number of cover stories for Asante Gold depends on current market conditions and Asante Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asante Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asante Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Asante Stock Analysis
When running Asante Gold's price analysis, check to measure Asante Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asante Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Asante Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asante Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asante Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asante Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.