Aisin Seiki Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ASEKY Stock | USD 19.00 1.29 7.28% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aisin Seiki Co on the next trading day is expected to be 19.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97. Aisin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Aisin |
Aisin Seiki Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aisin Seiki Co on the next trading day is expected to be 19.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aisin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aisin Seiki's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aisin Seiki Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Aisin Seiki Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aisin Seiki's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aisin Seiki's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.33 and 21.67, respectively. We have considered Aisin Seiki's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aisin Seiki pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aisin Seiki pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0381 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.186 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.9736 |
Predictive Modules for Aisin Seiki
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aisin Seiki. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Aisin Seiki
For every potential investor in Aisin, whether a beginner or expert, Aisin Seiki's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aisin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aisin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aisin Seiki's price trends.Aisin Seiki Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aisin Seiki pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aisin Seiki could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aisin Seiki by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aisin Seiki Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aisin Seiki's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aisin Seiki's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aisin Seiki Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aisin Seiki pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aisin Seiki shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aisin Seiki pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Aisin Seiki Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.64 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.29 |
Aisin Seiki Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aisin Seiki's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aisin Seiki's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aisin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9578 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Variance | 7.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Aisin Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Aisin Seiki's price analysis, check to measure Aisin Seiki's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aisin Seiki is operating at the current time. Most of Aisin Seiki's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aisin Seiki's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aisin Seiki's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aisin Seiki to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.