Associates First Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ASFZ Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Associates Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Associates First's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Associates First's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Associates First Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Associates First hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Associates First Capital from the perspective of Associates First response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Associates First Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Associates First after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Associates First to cross-verify your projections.

Associates First Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Associates price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Associates using various technical indicators. When you analyze Associates charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Associates First polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Associates First Capital as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Associates First Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Associates First Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Associates Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Associates First's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Associates First Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Associates First Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Associates First's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Associates First's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Associates First's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Associates First pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Associates First pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria34.379
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Associates First historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Associates First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Associates First Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Associates First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Associates First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Associates First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Associates First Capital.

Associates First After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Associates First at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Associates First or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Associates First, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Associates First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Associates First's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Associates First's historical news coverage. Associates First's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Associates First's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Associates First is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Associates First Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Associates First Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Associates First is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associates First backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Associates First, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Associates First Hype Timeline

Associates First Capital is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Associates is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Associates First is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Associates First to cross-verify your projections.

Associates First Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Associates First's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Associates First's future price movements. Getting to know how Associates First's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Associates First may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Associates First

For every potential investor in Associates, whether a beginner or expert, Associates First's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Associates Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Associates. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Associates First's price trends.

Associates First Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Associates First pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Associates First could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Associates First by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Associates First Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Associates First pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Associates First shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Associates First pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Associates First Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Associates First

The number of cover stories for Associates First depends on current market conditions and Associates First's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Associates First is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Associates First's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Associates Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Associates First's price analysis, check to measure Associates First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Associates First is operating at the current time. Most of Associates First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Associates First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Associates First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Associates First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.