Liberty All Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ASG Fund  USD 5.30  0.05  0.93%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Liberty All Star on the next trading day is expected to be 5.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.61. Liberty Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liberty All's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Liberty All's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Liberty All's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Liberty All and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Liberty All's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Liberty All Star, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Liberty All hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty All Star from the perspective of Liberty All response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Liberty All Star on the next trading day is expected to be 5.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.61.

Liberty All after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liberty All to cross-verify your projections.

Liberty All Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Liberty All simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Liberty All Star are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Liberty All Star prices get older.

Liberty All Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Liberty All Star on the next trading day is expected to be 5.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liberty Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liberty All's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liberty All Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Liberty AllLiberty All Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Liberty All Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liberty All's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liberty All's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.26 and 6.34, respectively. We have considered Liberty All's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.30
5.30
Expected Value
6.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liberty All fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liberty All fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.4957
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0018
MADMean absolute deviation0.0435
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0082
SAESum of the absolute errors2.61
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Liberty All Star forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Liberty All observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Liberty All

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty All Star. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty All's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.265.306.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.265.306.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Liberty All

For every potential investor in Liberty, whether a beginner or expert, Liberty All's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liberty Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liberty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liberty All's price trends.

Liberty All Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liberty All fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liberty All could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty All by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liberty All Star Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liberty All's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liberty All's current price.

Liberty All Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liberty All fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liberty All shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liberty All fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Liberty All Star entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liberty All Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liberty All's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liberty All's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liberty fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Liberty Fund

Liberty All financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liberty Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liberty with respect to the benefits of owning Liberty All security.
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