ASGN Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ASGN Stock  USD 52.09  2.44  4.91%   
ASGN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although ASGN's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ASGN's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ASGN fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of ASGN's share price is at 59. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ASGN, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ASGN's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ASGN Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ASGN's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1651
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.5778
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.9727
Wall Street Target Price
52.8333
Using ASGN hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ASGN Inc from the perspective of ASGN response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ASGN using ASGN's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ASGN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ASGN's stock price.

ASGN Short Interest

An investor who is long ASGN may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ASGN and may potentially protect profits, hedge ASGN with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
50
Short Percent
0.0859
Short Ratio
4.46
Shares Short Prior Month
2.2 M
50 Day MA
47.5458

ASGN Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ASGN Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 52.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.22.

ASGN Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ASGN's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ASGN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ASGN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ASGN Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ASGN's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ASGN.

ASGN Implied Volatility

    
  0.88  
ASGN's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ASGN Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ASGN's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ASGN stock will not fluctuate a lot when ASGN's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ASGN Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 52.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.22.

ASGN after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 49.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASGN to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ASGN contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ASGN Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ASGN trading at USD 52.09, that is roughly USD 0.0286 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ASGN's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ASGN Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ASGN Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ASGN's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ASGN's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ASGN stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ASGN's open interest, investors have to compare it to ASGN's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ASGN is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ASGN. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

ASGN Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ASGN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ASGN using various technical indicators. When you analyze ASGN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
ASGN simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ASGN Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ASGN Inc prices get older.

ASGN Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ASGN Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 52.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASGN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASGN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ASGN Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ASGN  ASGN Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

ASGN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ASGN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ASGN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.92 and 54.26, respectively. We have considered ASGN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.09
52.09
Expected Value
54.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASGN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASGN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1001
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1252
MADMean absolute deviation0.7413
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0158
SAESum of the absolute errors45.22
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ASGN Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ASGN observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ASGN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASGN Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.5749.6551.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.6347.7149.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.1849.5952.01
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.0852.8358.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ASGN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ASGN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ASGN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ASGN Inc.

ASGN After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ASGN at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ASGN or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ASGN, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ASGN Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ASGN's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ASGN's historical news coverage. ASGN's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.57 and 51.73, respectively. We have considered ASGN's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
52.09
49.65
After-hype Price
51.73
Upside
ASGN is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ASGN Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

ASGN Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ASGN is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASGN backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ASGN, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.17
  0.53 
  0.24 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.09
49.65
0.00 
114.81  
Notes

ASGN Hype Timeline

ASGN Inc is presently traded for 52.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. ASGN is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 114.81%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on ASGN is about 254.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.33. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ASGN Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of April 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASGN to cross-verify your projections.

ASGN Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ASGN's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ASGN's future price movements. Getting to know how ASGN's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ASGN may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PLUSePlus inc(1.11)9 per month 1.33  0.07  3.71 (2.34) 19.34 
CXMSprinklr(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.65 (3.99) 10.05 
DXCDXC Technology Co 0.32 8 per month 2.15  0.03  3.28 (3.49) 16.29 
BBAIBigBearai Holdings 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.01) 11.19 (8.09) 29.89 
AIC3 Ai Inc(0.25)3 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.45 (5.10) 11.16 
FORTYFormula Systems 1985 14.12 5 per month 3.87  0.15  7.00 (7.01) 23.60 
TDCTeradata Corp 0.19 9 per month 1.57  0.11  3.55 (3.66) 36.67 
EVTCEvertec(0.33)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.94 (3.16) 9.49 
BELFBBel Fuse B(3.06)8 per month 2.63  0.15  4.41 (4.41) 12.33 
INODInnodata(1.36)12 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.53 (7.73) 25.81 

Other Forecasting Options for ASGN

For every potential investor in ASGN, whether a beginner or expert, ASGN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASGN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASGN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASGN's price trends.

ASGN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASGN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASGN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASGN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ASGN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ASGN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ASGN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ASGN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ASGN Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ASGN Risk Indicators

The analysis of ASGN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ASGN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asgn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ASGN

The number of cover stories for ASGN depends on current market conditions and ASGN's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ASGN is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ASGN's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ASGN Short Properties

ASGN's future price predictability will typically decrease when ASGN's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ASGN Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ASGN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASGN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments205.2 M
When determining whether ASGN Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ASGN's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Asgn Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Asgn Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASGN to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Human Resource & Employment Services sector continue expanding? Could ASGN diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASGN. If investors know ASGN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ASGN data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Earnings Share
2.95
Revenue Per Share
90.73
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0471
Investors evaluate ASGN Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ASGN's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ASGN's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that ASGN's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether ASGN represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, ASGN's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.