Alaska Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ASKE Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Alaska Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alaska Pacific stock prices and determine the direction of Alaska Pacific Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alaska Pacific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Alaska Pacific's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alaska Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alaska Pacific Energy from the perspective of Alaska Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alaska Pacific Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Alaska Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 1.25E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alaska |
Alaska Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alaska price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alaska using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alaska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alaska Pacific Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alaska Pacific Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alaska Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alaska Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alaska Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alaska Pacific | Alaska Pacific Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alaska Pacific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alaska Pacific's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alaska Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Alaska Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alaska Pacific pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alaska Pacific pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Alaska Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alaska Pacific Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alaska Pacific After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alaska Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alaska Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Alaska Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alaska Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alaska Pacific's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alaska Pacific's historical news coverage. Alaska Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Alaska Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alaska Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alaska Pacific Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alaska Pacific Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alaska Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alaska Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alaska Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 25.00 |
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Alaska Pacific Hype Timeline
Alaska Pacific Energy is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alaska is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.25E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Alaska Pacific is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Alaska Pacific Energy currently holds 188.93 K in liabilities. Debt can assist Alaska Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alaska Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alaska Pacific Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alaska to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alaska Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alaska Pacific to cross-verify your projections.Alaska Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alaska Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alaska Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Alaska Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alaska Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BKSLF | Banks Island Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNTO | Centor Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RKTE | Reflectkote | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GPLDF | Great Panther Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRRI | Trinity Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.39 | |
| GREN | Greensmart | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMIM | China Health Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DANR | Dana Resources | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLSDF | Select Sands Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| URPLF | New Klondike Exploration | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alaska Pacific
For every potential investor in Alaska, whether a beginner or expert, Alaska Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alaska Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alaska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alaska Pacific's price trends.Alaska Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alaska Pacific pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alaska Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alaska Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alaska Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alaska Pacific pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alaska Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alaska Pacific pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alaska Pacific Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Alaska Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alaska Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alaska Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alaska pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.15 | |||
| Variance | 37.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alaska Pacific
The number of cover stories for Alaska Pacific depends on current market conditions and Alaska Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alaska Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alaska Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Alaska Pink Sheet
Alaska Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alaska Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alaska with respect to the benefits of owning Alaska Pacific security.